TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ukraine vs. Iceland end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c30…322abacked Yes31c112,647$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,000540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c70,434$47,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,503.6876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f3…bb7fbacked Yes0c16,480$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.481546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes29c6,996$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No67c4,608$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.7521837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No67c4,507$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.3117345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c4,432$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c4,230$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.3435942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No71c2,573$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.1774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No71c2,102$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.655538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.994669.6%32 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No69c1,842$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.87354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No48c1,681$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.9734630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No51c1,633$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.371,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c1,455$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.013,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2e…2b46backed Yes27c1,441$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…cd8cbacked No74c1,432$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7346…f416backed Yes26c1,430$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…8f37backed No74c1,375$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…ba57backed Yes26c1,375$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No69c1,332$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.788960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes45c1,122$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf177…d6fbbacked Yes27c750$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes37c686.49$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25429343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No68c679.22$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3521016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes39c620.19$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-83%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No71c485.22$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.348538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No61c410.12$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2755045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Yes49c407.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes28c361.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003959%23 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa8…5d61backed Yes29c347.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes50c278.63$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.322646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes61c274.08$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3323738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Yes32c269.69$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3419241.1%79 W · 113 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes38c257.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed No64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3813531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No71c199.97$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9928754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505844.8%26 W · 32 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No77c163$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2918641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23c…3993backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6840…6748backed No74c151.35$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.351471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3967354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.117338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3322650.9%115 W · 111 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked Yes50c111.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.831040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7903…df88backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b3…67cdbacked No73c109.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.594100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b7…fcf0backed Yes64c109.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid+108.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.672025%5 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-63.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253073.3%22 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbed…0dd0backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4b…ec5ebacked No73c99.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No67c99.21$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.747647.4%36 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No53c98.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.489633.3%32 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes43c93.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5739…8dbabacked Yes27c92.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No71c84$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3642352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes26c80.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.411,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Yes27c80.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222737%10 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c74.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7513538.5%52 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202817.9%5 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207350.7%37 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x02a7…0464backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de2…d0e5backed No72c73.71$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.524535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked No74c72.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.875339.6%21 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74b…3aa2backed Yes27c72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No72c68.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.315238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9088…351ebacked Yes27c66.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.042437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4730…c394backed Yes28c59.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…3e38backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154221.4%9 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5025…9c3dbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes26c54.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2617048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes25c54.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d3…4255backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed No75c53.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5112852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.510452.9%55 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b68…0060backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52536%9 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6385…df55backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No55c49.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.128145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed No74c48.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.74946.9%23 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac93…1c13backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-80.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa26…c10abacked Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcef…3934backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No71c40.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.872965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dfb…e887backed Yes43c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.77560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa32…f6b4backed Yes28c38.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-80.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No71c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.285545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No71c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.287349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…7c2fbacked Yes37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1246453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1216831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.