TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa26…c10a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: F1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST3855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$86.45
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$16.52
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Warriors vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Warriors vs. Magic: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$16.7
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$153.22
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+215.3%+$64.59
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.21
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$32.31
Spread: Aston Villa (-1.5)backed Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$163.79
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$235.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$45.54
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$39.09
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 3 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine vs. Iceland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$63.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.