Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc73cd03f45c14e36e0230c0e8bf7dc292e8c6985945e0d349228421bce1c07b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fulhamof Manchester City, Fulham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Manchester City | 35c | 150,000$52,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Fulham | 65c | 125,566$81,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,948.15 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fulham | 62c | 33,210$20,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,573.32 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Fulham | 65c | 11,684$7,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.45 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Manchester City | 35c | 11,002$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.65 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Manchester City | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Manchester City | 51c | 4,645$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.88 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…cca5backed Fulham | 66c | 4,339$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…77e4backed Manchester City | 34c | 3,800$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Fulham | 65c | 3,590$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.26 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Manchester City | 34c | 3,370$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.26 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Manchester City | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fulham | 64c | 2,916$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.69 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Fulham | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Fulham | 55c | 2,445$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fulham | 65c | 2,322$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.23 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…3d0fbacked Manchester City | 34c | 2,074$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92b1…6695backed Manchester City | 53c | 1,880$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Fulham | 9c | 1,565$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.65 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…583ebacked Fulham | 66c | 1,535$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Manchester City | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester City | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.97 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Manchester City | 35c | 1,226$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.09 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Manchester City | 43c | 1,214$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.5 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…648bbacked Manchester City | 35c | 1,120$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Fulham | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Manchester City | 35c | 999.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Manchester City | 35c | 565.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Manchester City | 36c | 559.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Fulham | 64c | 438$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…c10abacked Manchester City | 35c | 437.77$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…ff3dbacked Fulham | 66c | 402.48$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City | 37c | 380.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Manchester City | 21c | 362.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…d699backed Fulham | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Manchester City | 35c | 297.36$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Manchester City | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Fulham | 66c | 294.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Manchester City | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Manchester City | 36c | 279.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Manchester City | 36c | 277.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Fulham | 66c | 275$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Manchester City | 39c | 251.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Fulham | 63c | 229.46$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Fulham | 64c | 225.54$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.36 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Fulham | 67c | 209.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -9.5wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Fulham | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Manchester City | 46c | 190.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Manchester City | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Fulham | 66c | 140.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Manchester City | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…b7a5backed Manchester City | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Fulham | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Manchester City | 34c | 118.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Fulham | 66c | 118.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Fulham | 64c | 114.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…bfb4backed Manchester City | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Fulham | 32c | 105.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe924…b2c7backed Fulham | 67c | 104$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Manchester City | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Fulham | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Manchester City | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Fulham | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…2a8ebacked Manchester City | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…79cbbacked Manchester City | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…187dbacked Manchester City | 35c | 85.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…b1b1backed Fulham | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Fulham | 66c | 76.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked Fulham | 66c | 75.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Manchester City | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Manchester City | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Fulham | 26c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Fulham | 67c | 63.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…e856backed Fulham | 68c | 63.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Fulham | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Fulham | 64c | 60.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked Manchester City | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Manchester City | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…beecbacked Manchester City | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Fulham | 65c | 55.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…6b0abacked Manchester City | 71c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Manchester City | 34c | 54.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad8…d838backed Manchester City | 35c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…a4cbbacked Manchester City | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…21e1backed Manchester City | 35c | 46.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…e1c4backed Manchester City | 52c | 45.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Manchester City | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Manchester City | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Manchester City | 36c | 42.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…c7dfbacked Manchester City | 36c | 41.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Manchester City | 35c | 39.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…26e9backed Fulham | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Fulham | 67c | 37.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Manchester City | 35c | 34.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Manchester City | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Fulham | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd767…7cd8backed Manchester City | 35c | 28.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…e6b8backed Fulham | 66c | 25.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Fulham | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0127…3ef6backed Fulham | 56c | 19.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)this page
- Fulham vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham vs. Manchester City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.