TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x855d…349f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST3237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Magic (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$200
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.7
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+117.4%+$154.78
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+56.3%+$569.62
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.5%+$153.08
Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$400
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+60.4%+$181.31
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$94.74
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$126.32
Panthers vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$106.42
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Jets vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Bears (-2.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+103.6%+$300.33
Spread: Chargers (-4.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.35
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$41.11
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$32.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+32.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$266.04
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Blues vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+111.6%+$334.92
Kraken vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+77.2%+$77.2
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$59.74
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$195.01
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+93.9%+$281.71
Kraken vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Texas Tech make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$288.24
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$234.78
Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$451.06
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$140.31
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+76.8%+$230.5
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$339.9
Florida State vs. Clemsonbacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Kansas vs. Arizonabacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$227
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Jaguars vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50.74
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-14.5)backed Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+96.1%+$57.65
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+251.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+233.4%+$184.99
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+270.4%+$162.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$150.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$356.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.