NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6db99d25ec5c67c4d75272e03e8cca0e4986b86394a122dac8e1ce95c6913d69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Kraken, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $451,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $462,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Kraken | 36c | 240,594$85,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,669.83 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Stars | 72c | 54,378$38,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,471.77 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Stars | 64c | 51,000$32,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,360 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kraken | 19c | 50,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kraken | 36c | 45,266$16,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,295.76 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Stars | 64c | 36,436$23,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,070.14 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Stars | 64c | 27,285$17,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,821.8 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Stars | 64c | 26,492$16,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,537.11 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Stars | 65c | 22,637$14,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,922.95 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Stars | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 34c | 19,203$6,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,556.77 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Stars | 66c | 16,666$10,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,705.32 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Stars | 64c | 15,445$9,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,560.21 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Stars | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Kraken | 34c | 13,739$4,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,671.31 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Stars | 67c | 11,375$7,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,744.29 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Stars | 66c | 9,102$5,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.69 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 64c | 8,500$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Kraken | 21c | 5,097$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.43 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Stars | 65c | 4,738$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.34 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Stars | 64c | 4,599$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.95 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Stars | 63c | 4,317$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.64 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Stars | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Stars | 65c | 3,017$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.56 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Stars | 65c | 3,010$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.3 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Stars | 64c | 2,780$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.97 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Kraken | 23c | 2,574$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Kraken | 34c | 2,300$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 64c | 2,102$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.56 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 67c | 2,095$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.32 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Stars | 65c | 2,035$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.04 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Kraken | 18c | 2,025$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.25 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 31c | 1,953$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.68 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 63c | 1,920$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.2 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kraken | 35c | 1,700$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kraken | 37c | 1,698$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.51 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Stars | 64c | 1,586$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.88 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Stars | 62c | 1,558$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.03 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Stars | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Stars | 64c | 1,528$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kraken | 20c | 1,447$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.93 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars | 65c | 1,443$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.13 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Stars | 66c | 1,303$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.87 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 76c | 1,248$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.25 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kraken | 34c | 1,236$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.47 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…0aa5backed Stars | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 67c | 1,217$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.87 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 73c | 1,086$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.47 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kraken | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Stars | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Stars | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Stars | 67c | 933.44$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.04 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Stars | 66c | 916.48$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.1 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Stars | 64c | 820$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.2 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 35c | 722$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Stars | 67c | 721.63$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.14 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Stars | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 36c | 600$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.25 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 63c | 550$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.69 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 32c | 546.31$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.2 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Stars | 65c | 530$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.7 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Stars | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Kraken | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Kraken | 24c | 490.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Stars | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Stars | 66c | 435.51$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Kraken | 12c | 418.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kraken | 7c | 407.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars | 76c | 323.45$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…b1c0backed Stars | 63c | 319.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…c026backed Stars | 66c | 315$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…5d69backed Stars | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Stars | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Kraken | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…8852backed Stars | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Stars | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Kraken | 36c | 234.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars | 67c | 230$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Kraken | 38c | 227.17$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Stars | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kraken | 38c | 220$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Kraken | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Stars | 63c | 219.49$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Stars | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kraken | 8c | 211.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Stars | 65c | 210.86$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Stars | 77c | 209.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Kraken | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Kraken | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Kraken | 32c | 199.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Stars | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3b…3ebfbacked Kraken | 35c | 175.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Kraken | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Kraken | 34c | 170$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Stars | 65c | 161.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Stars | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Stars | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c1…b4afbacked Stars | 62c | 156.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Stars | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 167 | 66.5%111 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…29dfbacked Stars | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Starsthis page
- Kraken vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.