TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcca5…6d0c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: WNBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$513
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$400
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$289
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$290
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$205.92
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+143.9%+$998.28
Nuggets vs. Kings: 1H Moneylinebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$162.61
Grizzlies vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$37.68
Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$362.88
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.42
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$469.62
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$204
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$38.41
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$30.6
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.3
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$792
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$466.6
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$43.76
Yankees vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.54
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$249.09
Tigers vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$246.14
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.79
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$71.08
Diamondbacks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$78.33
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.44
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$147.09
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,220.99
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$294.58
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lightning (-2.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+177.8%+$80.64
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,474Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,661.96
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$964.71
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100.8
Kraken vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$550.23
Blackhawks vs. Red Wingsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$154
All 6 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valkyries vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$428.48
Mystics vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.28
Sky vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$85.86
Aces vs Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$15
Dream vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$55.1
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$406.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Nicholls Colonelsbacked Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$460
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.