WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe636927d36ff92d3a480143015936669dfd20a0e28966a830eed91d11787b482
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mysticsof Mystics, Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 25c | 3,450$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08c…5494backed Mystics | 25c | 3,400$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Mystics | 34c | 2,917$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Fever | 75c | 2,450$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…41f2backed Fever | 75c | 2,400$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4bb7backed Fever | 75c | 2,171$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 77cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Fever | 63c | 1,718$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.28 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…fbe3backed Fever | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Mystics | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mystics | 24c | 999.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Fever | 75c | 719.32$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.2 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Fever | 76c | 646.03$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.76 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Mystics | 24c | 638.77$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.7 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…515fbacked Mystics | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +198%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Fever | 62c | 568.07$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Fever | 40c | 544.15$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.96 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Mystics | 20c | 500$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.4 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Fever | 76c | 425$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mystics | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Fever | 26c | 404.38$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Fever | 76c | 389.47$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mystics | 26c | 386.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.15 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fever | 74c | 384.62$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.62 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Fever | 77c | 361.04$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Fever | 52c | 224.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mystics | 23c | 199.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.96 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fever | 25c | 199$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Mystics | 42c | 192.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.73 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fever | 74c | 186.73$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Fever | 37c | 169.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Mystics | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Fever | 75c | 152$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Fever | 47c | 144.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Fever | 76c | 124.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Fever | 76c | 119$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Fever | 62c | 117.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mystics | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Fever | 76c | 98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mystics | 71c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Fever | 76c | 81.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Mystics | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mystics | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…9adfbacked Mystics | 27c | 68.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7e…1fc5backed Mystics | 28c | 67.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Mystics | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…a5bcbacked Fever | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Mystics | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fever | 70c | 48.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Mystics | 56c | 44.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa310…4c56backed Fever | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Mystics | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Fever | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…af36backed Fever | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…dc6fbacked Fever | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Fever | 65c | 28.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Fever | 45c | 25.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Mystics | 50c | 25.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Mystics | 45c | 25.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Fever | 64c | 16.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.