TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Twins vs. Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Twinsof Twins, Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$872,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$877,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $872,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 608 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Twins44c617,697$269,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348,215.3312043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees56c185,910$104,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,202.651,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yankees57c176,000$100,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,32022852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Yankees56c105,944$59,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,328.646642.4%28 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Yankees17c55,696$9,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,410.88540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees56c48,000$26,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,88055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Twins43c20,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,399.9960249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Twins52c18,275$9,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,762.2754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees56c17,176$9,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,699.1538751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Twins70c13,177$9,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,989.3933845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees56c13,000$7,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2801,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yankees57c12,000$6,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,829.9925453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Yankees57c10,530$6,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,002.123545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Yankees61c9,766$6,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000.9624551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees57c6,704$3,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.972,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Yankees58c6,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,480540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees57c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,42043949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3219…4f05backed Twins43c6,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4203053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees57c5,916$3,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,386.5998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Yankees57c5,903$3,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,369.5323455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Twins43c5,645$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,227.913470.6%24 W · 10 L+7.7wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Yankees57c5,355$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.355850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yankees57c5,263$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00019649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Twins43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85034245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yankees44c4,617$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.529,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yankees58c4,188$2,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4291,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yankees57c4,034$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.1995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees57c2,423$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.1135952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yankees56c2,010$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.971,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ccf…a574backed Twins44c1,800$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Twins37c1,719$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.021,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Yankees58c1,649$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.4225454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins39c1,276$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.0695930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Twins43c1,244$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.318349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Twins43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7928042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Twins42c1,115$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.369447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Yankees59c1,114$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.3911051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Twins39c1,064$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.3318236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yankees5c1,042$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4680…b33dbacked Twins55c1,037$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.343438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…e2b9backed Twins42c1,031$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa737…e0a5backed Yankees58c1,024$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Twins42c1,007$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.1338444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Twins42c980$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.415944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b9…3b2fbacked Yankees58c976$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x931e…8547backed Twins42c969$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.02683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick45cpaid+91.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x879e…94e4backed Yankees56c904$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Twins43c899.98$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.9950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4e…4e46backed Yankees56c896$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Yankees57c873.71$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Twins43c849.32$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.2751347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Yankees57c842.47$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.2126056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Twins43c842.05$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.7316654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Twins43c820$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.424547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Twins42c708.37$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd08a…f1babacked Yankees59c677.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Yankees58c625.99$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.076443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Yankees56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33631347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Twins44c597.5$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.614048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yankees64c550.4$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35024040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Twins43c541$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3744443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Yankees58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e4c…eaecbacked Twins43c515$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74c4…4493backed Twins43c500$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.517850%89 W · 89 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Twins42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29027733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Twins43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Twins43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1263052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Twins43c465$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.051,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Yankees57c434.88$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.2416552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Twins42c423.01$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0741747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees11c408.21$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Twins43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22824951.8%129 W · 120 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Yankees55c375$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.256,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaecf…e3dcbacked Yankees58c365$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Twins42c360$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.81,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Yankees56c358.21$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.624253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcca5…6d0cbacked Yankees57c357.53$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.791643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yankees63c350.16$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202040%8 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Twins42c350$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.651,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Twins43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.841,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e61…a88abacked Yankees58c343.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007350.7%37 W · 36 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yankees59c339$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0191749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb5…da2cbacked Yankees60c333.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012355.3%68 W · 55 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yankees64c329.82$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.478360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed Yankees59c313.56$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1854847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6579…088bbacked Twins45c311.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.11955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Twins42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Twins42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17430850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yankees55c299.96$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.981,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins44c299.63$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9283248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2838…32bbbacked Yankees58c285.69$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees4c283.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6816725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yankees56c283$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Twins78c275$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.547348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Twins48c270.05$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3173149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Twins78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4139160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Twins44c238$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2834051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Twins43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.564443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Twins43c228.44$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2192754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.