TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e61…a88a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT7350.7%37 W · 36 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.48
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+400%+$403.94
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.14
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.78
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.73
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$144.12
Tigers vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Braves vs. Metsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.69
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Cubs vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Red Sox vs. Astrosbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Nationals vs. Royalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.82
Rockies vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Rockies vs. Cardinalsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Cubs vs. Blue Jaysbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-58.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Elon tweet 550–574 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+60.8%+$92.45
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.37
Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$328.68
Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+178.3%+$742.2
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 330–344 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 315–329 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon tweet 270–284 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+83.7%+$344.24
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$107
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.27
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56.39
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.07
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+322.1%+$88.33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.49
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$42.37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+165.4%+$82.71
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.4
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.07
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.9
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+172.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Vikings backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$72.19
Giants vs. Bills backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$15.23
Browns vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Bengals vs. Eaglesbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 4 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$26.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.9%+$165.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+34.4%+$6.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST Bounty: Passion UA vs. Spiritbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$21.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$44.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mystics vs Wingsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.