Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb639e403521fda3f1ef742893c457b50cabbcba3dc75e7de07764f5974d2ea44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 3c | 7,666$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,441.23 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 4c | 5,414$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180.2 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,064$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.39 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed No | 3c | 2,887$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…5ce4backed No | 2c | 2,285$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 6c | 2,160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.84 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 47c | 2,059$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.16 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…faacbacked Yes | 2c | 1,995$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.1 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +30.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +177%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 34c | 1,788$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 31c | 1,590$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.69 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.09 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 75c | 1,469$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.74 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 12c | 1,347$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 1c | 1,127$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 57c | 1,107$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.63 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 1c | 1,092$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 27c | 1,024$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.3 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 41c | 1,021$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.19 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 37c | 984.86$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 3c | 957.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 32c | 940$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.6 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 2c | 734.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.24 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 60c | 712.57$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.57 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 47c | 667.99$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.16 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 2c | 616.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.07 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c85dbacked No | 12c | 580.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 52c | 565.5$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.16 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…6f5ebacked No | 78c | 555.37$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.1 | 116 | 27.6%32 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 37c | 543.43$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.91 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 24c | 509.76$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.58 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 22c | 495.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 18c | 477.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.42 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed No | 25c | 462.12$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 25c | 454.49$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.98 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked No | 71c | 449.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.23 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…a115backed No | 66c | 399.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.19 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 26c | 399.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.88 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 72c | 395.88$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 391.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca48…827ebacked No | 8c | 375$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…b8efbacked Yes | 54c | 369.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…05fbbacked Yes | 24c | 360.52$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 10c | 349.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.02 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 23c | 332.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 14c | 316.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.6 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 54c | 315.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…9ed8backed No | 8c | 305$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3024backed No | 68c | 304.01$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 241 | 39.8%96 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 79c | 294.59$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.13 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 55c | 292.59$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.39 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 7c | 290$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.96 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 20c | 279.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.77 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 74c | 275.25$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.02 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 72c | 273.63$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 72c | 272.55$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.45 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 271.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…d4adbacked No | 77c | 270$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…eaecbacked Yes | 77c | 265.34$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5478…a9f8backed No | 75c | 260$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed No | 62c | 259.65$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…1cefbacked Yes | 27c | 245.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.56 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 77c | 245.31$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…5b01backed Yes | 49c | 234.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 27c | 223.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 15c | 218.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 20c | 214.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.79 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 11c | 207.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.25 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 12c | 205$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +295%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 10c | 194.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.37 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 57c | 189.54$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 27c | 185.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…3a35backed No | 73c | 183.91$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 60c | 181.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 22c | 175.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 8c | 175.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.01 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 39c | 154.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 70c | 153.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…e17dbacked No | 68c | 152.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…e548backed No | 77c | 152.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 66cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 12c | 149.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 75c | 144.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 77c | 133.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Yes | 38c | 132.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes | 35c | 130.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 13c | 128.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 128$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…2e8abacked Yes | 40c | 126.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 67c | 125.84$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 40c | 125.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 44c | 122.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…84bfbacked No | 59c | 120.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 204 | 45.1%92 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 9c | 118.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…2ac6backed No | 77c | 118.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…018bbacked Yes | 74c | 117.11$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 77c | 111.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 32c | 110.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.