Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab5b7646fe20d4f447601653934fe9def3610ec986b50d2279b368d176d91598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,414$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 2,059$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.56 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,959$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.34 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…079bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,881$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…3f67backed Yes | 59c | 1,556$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.58 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.71 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 7c | 1,466$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 4c | 1,389$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 65c | 1,319$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.49 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…45d5backed Yes | 56c | 1,300$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.67 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 2c | 1,280$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.6 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,278$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c85dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,251$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.83 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 1,195$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.54 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 33c | 1,172$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.3 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…0312backed No | 62c | 1,135$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.44 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 63c | 1,005$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.91 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 39c | 964.34$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.45 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 16c | 775.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 22c | 732.64$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 28c | 722.74$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.76 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 63c | 700$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.2 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 64c | 698.27$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.95 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 11c | 659.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 63c | 632.14$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.48 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 619.02$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.09 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 577.71$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 43c | 554.01$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.19 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 44c | 546.39$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.83 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 531.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 75c | 498.19$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 53c | 492.42$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.42 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 71c | 449.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.74 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 23c | 434.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 21c | 390.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 16c | 390.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Yes | 22c | 389.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…be79backed Yes | 51c | 385.9$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 25c | 379.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca48…827ebacked Yes | 7c | 375$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 28c | 371.17$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.44 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 34c | 355.29$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…1674backed No | 64c | 347.95$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.37 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…e802backed Yes | 75c | 344.65$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.49 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…9ed8backed Yes | 7c | 305$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked Yes | 65c | 301.08$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed Yes | 12c | 299.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed Yes | 74c | 296.54$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.31 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 28c | 290.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 40c | 284.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 7c | 281.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 12c | 279.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…e31abacked No | 77c | 255.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 70c | 250$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.86 | 1,034 | 51.3%530 W · 504 L | +69.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 52c | 247.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775b…ea10backed Yes | 12c | 247.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadb…898ebacked No | 38c | 246.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.84 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf3…2c58backed Yes | 21c | 232.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 231.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0452…34b7backed Yes | 57c | 225.3$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 28c | 219.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 12c | 219.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 13c | 210.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827d…b1f0backed Yes | 75c | 204.91$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…c9a7backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 410 | 33.7%138 W · 272 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…b8efbacked Yes | 68c | 192.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 19c | 187.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.74 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed No | 55c | 183.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 39c | 179.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 15c | 176.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 31c | 174.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5938…7788backed Yes | 63c | 172.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…f0bbbacked No | 12c | 167.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +190.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 35c | 151.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2e…498dbacked Yes | 80c | 141.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 16c | 138.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 21c | 133.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked No | 78c | 128.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 11c | 125.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked Yes | 73c | 125$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…24fabacked No | 68c | 124.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked No | 11c | 122.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 24c | 116.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 59c | 115.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 65c | 114.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 15c | 112.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 10c | 112.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 109.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061d…48eabacked Yes | 19c | 106.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 37c | 104.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…923abacked Yes | 14c | 103.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 32c | 103$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…1751backed Yes | 15c | 102.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…c1f6backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 11c | 99.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 12c | 98.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.