TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5675…f6a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
253
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: AI, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category AI at 59 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT8458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.78
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.26
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 37°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$32.84
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 38°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$38.13
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.2
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.55
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.56
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.14
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$67.36
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$48.06
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.55
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.79
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.99
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$19.78
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.25
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,734Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$1,282.81
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$77.65
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$9.12
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,863Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,863.16
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$26.25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.78
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$103.01
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$43.95
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$322
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.57
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$50.55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$608
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.95
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.62
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$18.43
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$576.2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$288.32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$904.79
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$631.22
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.21
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$71.09
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$156.8
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.68
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$22.11
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.03
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.07
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$193.02
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.98
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44%+$19.78
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$49.01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.89
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$80.63
Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$36.44
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.58
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.19
Will Ernesto Bello win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$296.83
Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,942.95
Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$690.21
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.04
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41%+$44.85
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$330.54
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.57
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$981Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$381.36
Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,406Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,504.61
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$426.42
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$85.57
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.79
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+209.8%+$74.54
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.57
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.27
Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.1
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+71.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23.94
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$90.1
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$37.26
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.66
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.48
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.66
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.99
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$36.93
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$80.74
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$34.17
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$61.84
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.8
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$17.66
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,527Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$5,205.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$465.74
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.55
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.67
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.94
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.77
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.02
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 25?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$201.78
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$60.28
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$303.79
All 15 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$35.88
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+119%+$22.28
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.41
Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.45
Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Teladoc Health (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$19.53
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$26.46
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.66
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.56
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$23.76
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.67
Will anyone say "Prophecy" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$19.8
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.48
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.9
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$33.6
Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Evan Power be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.88
Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.45
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.16
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$32.66
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $8B and $9.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Reformation's market cap be less than $800M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Will Reformation's market cap be between $1.4B and $1.6B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.48
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.56
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.84
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.17
All 7 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$761.19
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$880.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.02
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$424
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$54.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,724Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$1,283.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$26.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.