Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6484489ee158de10fe4dd47ea8b3cb621935fc465c452681e926f52a9e0f4bfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 57c | 1,857$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.05 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 36c | 1,574$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.89 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 48c | 682.23$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.72 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 48c | 531.12$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 45c | 497.11$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.93 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 49c | 419$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.77 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 41c | 367.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.27 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 64c | 350$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 43c | 307.49$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.79 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 292.88$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.43 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 56c | 288.9$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 43c | 254$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 47c | 248.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.91 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 46c | 238.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 60c | 228.15$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.95 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 50c | 199.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed No | 8c | 197.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 34c | 175.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 43c | 172.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 62c | 170.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 31c | 167.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 67c | 167.47$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…9f80backed No | 60c | 157.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 59c | 148.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 43c | 145$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 27c | 139.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 134.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 39c | 130.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 122.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 58c | 115.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 43c | 113.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 43c | 106.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 40c | 104.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 58c | 101.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 39c | 100.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 60c | 100.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1a9bbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 44c | 98.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 61c | 95.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 93.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 58c | 78.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 58c | 76.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 42c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…d63cbacked No | 61c | 66.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 71c | 65.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 51c | 64.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 39c | 62.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked Yes | 40c | 61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 57.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 51c | 56.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed No | 26c | 55.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 35c | 54.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 63c | 50.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 76c | 48.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4095…24e2backed No | 58c | 46.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 39c | 44.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 43c | 43.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…9a5cbacked Yes | 65c | 41.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…bc8bbacked Yes | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4f…1f77backed Yes | 74c | 40.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 63c | 38.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…68babacked Yes | 43c | 37.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…7219backed No | 62c | 37.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 63c | 37.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…196bbacked Yes | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 36.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…68d3backed No | 58c | 35.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…a5fbbacked No | 63c | 32.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 77c | 32.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 138 | 62.3%86 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 52c | 28.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…83b1backed Yes | 44c | 27.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…59eebacked Yes | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed No | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…e1f8backed No | 62c | 25.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked Yes | 42c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 62c | 24.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…9a52backed Yes | 64c | 24.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.