Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7474ec1ef651ac4ff72acd443bbccfb9ce22ada11512755f12cbc84f57b0a78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 39c | 1,215$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.29 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 34c | 631.29$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.24 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 58c | 307.6$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 289.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 36c | 239.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 65c | 238.33$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked Yes | 44c | 231.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 61c | 202.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 16c | 191.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 59c | 189.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 188.41$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…7a32backed Yes | 45c | 177$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 62c | 155.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 34c | 152.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 39c | 146$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 8c | 142.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 25c | 141$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 42c | 131.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 112.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 27c | 103.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 34c | 103$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 43c | 101.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 42c | 100.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 59c | 99.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 59c | 97.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked Yes | 46c | 87.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 36c | 82.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 57c | 82.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 57c | 82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 60c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 40c | 75.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 39c | 74.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 57c | 72.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 23c | 69.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 66.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 61c | 56.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed No | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 57c | 50.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1a9bbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 37c | 47.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 41c | 46.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…7219backed No | 60c | 44.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 62c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd46…e514backed No | 60c | 42.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 39c | 41.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 76c | 41.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 138 | 62.3%86 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 57c | 39.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f3…74c9backed Yes | 37c | 38.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…68babacked Yes | 43c | 37.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 40c | 37.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 36.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…68d3backed No | 61c | 34.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd489…7f08backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 95 | 66.3%63 W · 32 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 64c | 29.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 41c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 63c | 28.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked No | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af3…bcb4backed No | 63c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed No | 58c | 25.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 60c | 24.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 61c | 23.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed No | 73c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…a7e5backed No | 71c | 19.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51f…24e8backed No | 63c | 19.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 77c | 18.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…e1f8backed No | 61c | 16.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.