TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91d9…141d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,316
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1,25638.2%480 W · 776 L+53.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 1,256 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+698.5%+$130.55
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+359.2%+$50.76
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+588.2%+$138.61
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+348.3%+$97.53
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$13.16
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.38
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$42.89
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.28
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.62
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+177.1%+$55.66
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.41
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.63
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$33.23
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Showing 25 of 1,256 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$31.56
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$17.36
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+236%+$62.21
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+336%+$43.81
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+123.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.78
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Ducks vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+39.9%+$17.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$28.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.