Movies · resolved market
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8db2651deb0ca894dfec7963ff43d747e6b203d853ea102ddaaf69272fcbd14e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,967 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 18,820$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 14,699$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 1c | 12,528$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 2c | 11,852$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.83 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 4c | 8,344$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.61 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 1c | 7,778$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,721$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 1c | 6,666$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 8c | 6,039$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.51 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 5c | 4,968$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 9c | 4,952$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.53 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee37…89febacked Yes | 5c | 4,430$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 4c | 4,020$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 3c | 3,485$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…ffd4backed Yes | 1c | 3,288$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…bc77backed Yes | 1c | 2,737$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 2,693$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…6cbebacked Yes | 1c | 2,615$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1210…53c3backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +267.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…01f1backed Yes | 2c | 2,368$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 3c | 2,367$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2511…98f4backed Yes | 5c | 2,360$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 2,243$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.82 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…6e55backed Yes | 1c | 2,237$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0e…57bebacked Yes | 1c | 2,166$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…a477backed Yes | 4c | 2,117$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…8c44backed Yes | 2c | 2,085$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,989$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…a8b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,970$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 1,915$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Yes | 6c | 1,915$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…9f89backed Yes | 1c | 1,796$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Yes | 4c | 1,725$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 2c | 1,687$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…65c9backed Yes | 1c | 1,632$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,613$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…c219backed Yes | 1c | 1,539$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,490$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…0bb1backed Yes | 1c | 1,442$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…58dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,370$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…f539backed Yes | 1c | 1,331$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…c387backed Yes | 2c | 1,318$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,278$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…2e8ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,273$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…ff08backed Yes | 1c | 1,255$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…b880backed Yes | 2c | 1,252$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…b5f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,239$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…9316backed Yes | 1c | 1,229$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ef…bff2backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf435…ae2abacked Yes | 2c | 1,175$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…1bacbacked Yes | 2c | 1,112$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09aa…bdb6backed Yes | 1c | 1,092$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…1295backed Yes | 1c | 1,065$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 2c | 1,057$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,028$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 12c | 1,009$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 6c | 1,008$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…c532backed Yes | 2c | 996$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked Yes | 7c | 967.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af0…e3d6backed Yes | 2c | 957$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…fb56backed Yes | 2c | 909$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…9684backed Yes | 2c | 892$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…4c0bbacked Yes | 2c | 850$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…b90abacked Yes | 3c | 842$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…d0f7backed Yes | 2c | 842$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 6c | 800$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…fc91backed Yes | 6c | 796.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 1c | 777.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…94d5backed Yes | 7c | 735.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…657cbacked Yes | 2c | 717.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 8c | 706.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…31b9backed Yes | 2c | 697.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 3c | 669.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 667.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed Yes | 3c | 659.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79da…7742backed Yes | 5c | 656.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…9070backed Yes | 3c | 618.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…232cbacked Yes | 2c | 589.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…20cbbacked Yes | 13c | 581.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 558.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes | 6c | 527.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 515$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…7804backed Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…ed23backed Yes | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 6c | 498.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…30c9backed Yes | 6c | 490$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…1aafbacked Yes | 6c | 479.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 18c | 450.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7657backed Yes | 5c | 447.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 13c | 446$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 7c | 438.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 3c | 436.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…c079backed Yes | 2c | 432.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…c063backed Yes | 4c | 432.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 6c | 424.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 111 | 4.5%5 W · 106 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…6cb2backed Yes | 5c | 423.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…ebe9backed Yes | 3c | 415.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6a…5532backed Yes | 2c | 409.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 13c | 392.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Adam Sandler win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Akira Emoto win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Diego Luna win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jack O'Connell win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jonathan Bailey win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Miles Caton win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Peter Dinklage win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sean Bean win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.