Movies · resolved market
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ddaff7ab33855ab7ed53f75ae4a331496028177f4bf0557eafe0fb83628332b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $513,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,779 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 18,870$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.2 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Yes | 6c | 10,650$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.64 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 10,431$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.05 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…c815backed Yes | 14c | 7,542$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 7c | 7,420$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.92 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…3cd6backed Yes | 1c | 7,050$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 6,934$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.15 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yes | 6c | 5,067$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…ea62backed Yes | 1c | 5,045$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 8c | 4,975$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.02 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6b…f075backed Yes | 7c | 4,951$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,866$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721b…3846backed Yes | 9c | 4,295$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 6c | 4,182$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.63 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 5c | 4,120$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.34 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,807$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.77 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,737$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 11c | 3,500$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 6c | 3,443$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.19 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…1f4fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,419$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,033$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.58 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed Yes | 6c | 2,700$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…1bacbacked Yes | 9c | 2,659$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Yes | 8c | 2,587$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…8612backed Yes | 7c | 2,502$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Yes | 9c | 2,500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…fd88backed Yes | 11c | 2,462$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…4ab8backed Yes | 7c | 2,449$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 5c | 2,400$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…f2f3backed Yes | 8c | 2,285$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…0681backed Yes | 8c | 2,268$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,263$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…29f3backed Yes | 9c | 2,223$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 8c | 2,177$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af0…3621backed Yes | 8c | 2,107$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…950fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,078$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f7…51bfbacked Yes | 9c | 2,060$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb443…ab0fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,997$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,900$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f7…5513backed Yes | 1c | 1,762$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158a…c822backed Yes | 9c | 1,753$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 1,739$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec43…f187backed Yes | 8c | 1,717$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c65…ab92backed Yes | 9c | 1,714$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…b5f5backed Yes | 9c | 1,673$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…0434backed Yes | 7c | 1,625$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes | 8c | 1,514$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…cb70backed Yes | 9c | 1,502$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…6cbebacked Yes | 10c | 1,462$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…0289backed Yes | 9c | 1,460$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7254…1eabbacked Yes | 8c | 1,449$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…0b32backed Yes | 9c | 1,448$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…f32cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,439$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…1cc3backed Yes | 9c | 1,432$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 8c | 1,410$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,393$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…e6fcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,383$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 7c | 1,380$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…aefabacked Yes | 9c | 1,377$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05de…6d8cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,375$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fa…26c2backed Yes | 9c | 1,365$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c4…e16ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,331$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 1,318$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Yes | 8c | 1,215$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,214$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 1,193$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Yes | 7c | 1,142$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…3778backed Yes | 4c | 1,139$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 2c | 1,120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 1,090$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x909a…f13cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,065$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1b…8bd5backed Yes | 7c | 1,062$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1051…ec4bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,055$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…10edbacked Yes | 9c | 1,054$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…fefdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,048$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…3757backed Yes | 10c | 1,002$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…531dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…71b6backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 10c | 999.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…a6e9backed Yes | 9c | 997$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked Yes | 10c | 986.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9205…383cbacked Yes | 9c | 980$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 7c | 971.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…230cbacked Yes | 9c | 954$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…f539backed Yes | 9c | 953$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8560…ea55backed Yes | 9c | 944$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…d99abacked Yes | 9c | 927$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 10c | 913.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6e…f83dbacked Yes | 9c | 904$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Yes | 4c | 899.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 7c | 899.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…40c1backed Yes | 9c | 897$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 881.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…815fbacked Yes | 10c | 874$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c1…4e0ebacked Yes | 9c | 870$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 8c | 864.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…52a0backed Yes | 9c | 859$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Adam Sandler win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Akira Emoto win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Diego Luna win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jack O'Connell win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jonathan Bailey win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Miles Caton win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Peter Dinklage win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sean Bean win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.