Movies · resolved market
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07baddbeaa7f66706b84f167f835f3cc90782445ff36b2ea736c1c097f6ff537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,095,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,095,087 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,018 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0ec…f78dbacked Yes | 70c | 70,923$49,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,646.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…cc11backed No | 30c | 70,923$21,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,646.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…7c8bbacked Yes | 70c | 69,960$48,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,728.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afe…6d26backed No | 30c | 69,960$21,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,728.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49a…aa95backed No | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…8285backed Yes | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…a547backed Yes | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,599.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…9276backed Yes | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33aa…f044backed Yes | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…a7f0backed No | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ef…6b81backed No | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…d060backed No | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa353…adddbacked Yes | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f3…5d42backed Yes | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b8…13a6backed No | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…b93bbacked Yes | 61c | 30,000$18,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,301.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b3…164ebacked Yes | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5e…3458backed Yes | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…0b41backed Yes | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…9f9fbacked Yes | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,600.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ee…589dbacked No | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…06ebbacked No | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…b665backed Yes | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…1e6cbacked No | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…6851backed Yes | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…ea71backed No | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,300.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…4907backed Yes | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…a382backed No | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…e926backed Yes | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…271ebacked No | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a8…083fbacked Yes | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…6797backed Yes | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…67adbacked No | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa16…e2f9backed No | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9308…5bc6backed Yes | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…0e75backed Yes | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…1af6backed No | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…ea46backed No | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…7410backed No | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…c197backed Yes | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…7e51backed Yes | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…419cbacked Yes | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486d…f767backed No | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7682…03dfbacked Yes | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623e…a700backed No | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0b…14adbacked Yes | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…9b67backed Yes | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…6b04backed Yes | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…dec0backed No | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0124…3890backed No | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…8afdbacked No | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…46f7backed No | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7235backed Yes | 63c | 30,000$18,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,896.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90cd…15a4backed Yes | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…471dbacked No | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9085…2617backed No | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd3…4e92backed Yes | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…b921backed No | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…6148backed No | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb9…9740backed No | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a33…f72dbacked Yes | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…781ebacked No | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…848ebacked No | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…0f86backed Yes | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…45a2backed No | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…a660backed Yes | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce2…2896backed Yes | 63c | 30,000$18,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,897.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…38c0backed Yes | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…0df3backed No | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…4a44backed No | 43c | 30,000$12,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,102.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…1315backed No | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…10f8backed Yes | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac2…be52backed No | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…62d5backed Yes | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed No | 68c | 17,083$11,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,385.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfafd…8233backed No | 35c | 16,914$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,994.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0759…147dbacked Yes | 65c | 16,914$10,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,994.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 31c | 12,488$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9529…75b4backed Yes | 16c | 11,665$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…6a41backed Yes | 62c | 10,800$6,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,696 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 27c | 8,984$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.3 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Yes | 42c | 8,583$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Yes | 38c | 8,560$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 70c | 8,274$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,778 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Yes | 44c | 7,592$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…6108backed Yes | 31c | 6,523$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e25…57c7backed Yes | 66c | 6,494$4,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,294 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 69c | 5,913$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.72 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 20c | 5,579$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…0b21backed Yes | 16c | 5,542$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 30c | 5,184$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd383…05fdbacked Yes | 42c | 4,955$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 71c | 4,646$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…8cdcbacked Yes | 52c | 4,635$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…b60abacked No | 58c | 4,475$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +171.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 66c | 4,403$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.49 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 34c | 4,240$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.89 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 19c | 4,145$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.03 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.99 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 3,743$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.09 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Adam Sandler win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Akira Emoto win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Diego Luna win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jack O'Connell win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jonathan Bailey win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Miles Caton win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Peter Dinklage win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sean Bean win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.