TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b90…8cdc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 55 out of 100; worst Movies at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.1
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.19
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.8
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.79
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.53
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.08
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.71
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,746Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525.6%+$9,178.8
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.52
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$996
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+82.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+86%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Will Sentimental Value win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+144.4%+$360.98
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 7 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Jets vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+98.4%+$196.75
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+116.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$252
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$343.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,710
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+223.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+223.6%+$69.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.