NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb1a11aa6cb12275ba40e84112efebc72e6ed190c7b3b5709af13bb83178f845
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,502,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,380,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,502,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Kings | 18c | 591,836$104,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487,580.18 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 33c | 154,713$50,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,099.94 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 16c | 138,864$22,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,845.52 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Nuggets | 51c | 53,833$27,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,372.92 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings | 20c | 50,285$10,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,205.69 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 20c | 46,173$9,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,149.78 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f6…a773backed Nuggets | 59c | 41,738$24,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,685.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings | 17c | 39,214$6,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,547.29 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Kings | 18c | 35,851$6,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,397.96 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Nuggets | 16c | 35,000$5,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.49 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kings | 22c | 30,104$6,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,530.7 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 17c | 30,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,900 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 29c | 28,146$8,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,880.71 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 31c | 25,018$7,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,306.19 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Nuggets | 43c | 23,800$10,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,237 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings | 18c | 21,698$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,792.36 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Kings | 17c | 20,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,599.97 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 2c | 19,864$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.64 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 15c | 19,691$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,810.35 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Nuggets | 63c | 18,611$11,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,747.36 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Nuggets | 42c | 18,293$7,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,689.25 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings | 18c | 18,259$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,015.59 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Kings | 69c | 17,429$12,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.37 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Nuggets | 64c | 16,032$10,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,239.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Kings | 16c | 14,644$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,300.79 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…e262backed Kings | 75c | 13,976$10,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 77c | 13,301$10,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.25 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Kings | 19c | 13,000$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,589.98 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Kings | 18c | 12,912$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,587.84 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Kings | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Kings | 37c | 9,332$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,892.61 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 34c | 9,110$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.8 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Kings | 59c | 9,055$5,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.2 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 16c | 9,038$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,591.5 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kings | 44c | 8,870$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.04 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Kings | 28c | 8,845$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,353.34 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Kings | 17c | 8,294$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,884.11 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 17c | 8,070$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,708.02 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 32c | 7,238$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.31 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Kings | 15c | 6,304$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,358.5 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Kings | 12c | 6,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.99 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 17c | 5,969$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,974.97 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Kings | 13c | 5,845$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,079.74 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets | 17c | 5,678$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.69 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…c82cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 5,480$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.45 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Nuggets | 62c | 5,241$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Nuggets | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Nuggets | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Kings | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.98 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Kings | 31c | 4,950$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kings | 15c | 4,899$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.25 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 22c | 4,881$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Kings | 17c | 4,817$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.25 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Kings | 58c | 4,708$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.78 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kings | 17c | 4,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 60c | 4,470$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.56 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 20c | 4,301$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.02 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nuggets | 17c | 4,256$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 15c | 4,004$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.32 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4a…21cbbacked Nuggets | 64c | 3,934$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.38 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…d6e4backed Kings | 75c | 3,933$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Kings | 10c | 3,915$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.87 | 479 | 49.7%238 W · 241 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Kings | 66c | 3,898$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Kings | 40c | 3,620$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.78 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…d161backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,558$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.68 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Kings | 19c | 3,534$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.59 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kings | 16c | 3,500$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 17c | 3,427$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.15 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Kings | 20c | 3,097$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.68 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,070$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222c…4ab2backed Nuggets | 76c | 3,057$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.78 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 18c | 3,056$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.53 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Kings | 25c | 2,992$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.67 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…e0dbbacked Nuggets | 73c | 2,958$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…edb4backed Nuggets | 7c | 2,878$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,841$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.93 | 240 | 55.4%133 W · 107 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Kings | 52c | 2,822$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.54 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Nuggets | 42c | 2,631$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Kings | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Kings | 53c | 2,400$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.06 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd8…6203backed Nuggets | 69c | 2,333$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.5 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,128$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.52 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Nuggets | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Kings | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Nuggets | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b4…36f0backed Kings | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Kings | 18c | 1,892$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.73 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Kings | 73c | 1,804$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.84 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Kings | 14c | 1,773$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.03 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c27…390fbacked Kings | 17c | 1,742$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…8928backed Kings | 17c | 1,692$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Nuggets | 76c | 1,626$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.11 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Nuggets | 37c | 1,547$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.81 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ea…992bbacked Kings | 14c | 1,542$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +317.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c0…f117backed Kings | 16c | 1,505$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Kings | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Kings | 19c | 1,441$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Nuggetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Kings won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.