NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45f6368646540bf39641c77e2a9bfd714bdc8e47b5e70aee49a6eb08e7394b85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Over | 52c | 111,638$58,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,515.07 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 22,489$10,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,925.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 50c | 17,867$8,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,933.73 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 46c | 15,817$7,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,262.55 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Over | 58c | 11,000$6,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,670 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 9,700$4,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Under | 45c | 8,004$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 46c | 7,358$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.68 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 41c | 4,250$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Under | 50c | 3,832$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 3,667$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.79 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 3,562$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.03 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Under | 43c | 3,212$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.15 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under | 46c | 2,919$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.74 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 57c | 2,704$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.61 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…af64backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 2,426$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Under | 46c | 2,300$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 49c | 1,625$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 48c | 1,319$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.04 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.98 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 51c | 999.84$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.34 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Under | 46c | 995.65$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 922.11$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 62c | 872.16$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.17 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 855$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.3 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 57c | 549$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…732fbacked Under | 48c | 428$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.44 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 49c | 325$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Over | 51c | 231.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Under | 46c | 190.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 58c | 177$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 26c | 167.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 161$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 46c | 109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 49c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Over | 48c | 94.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 49c | 80.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…9347backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x500d…7f34backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Under | 52c | 66.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 48c | 62.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Under | 48c | 61.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 44c | 50.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd9…00b1backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Kings won
- Kings vs. NuggetsKings won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.