TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd333…2a71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST4050%20 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$50.77
76ers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 249.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$50.77
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$53.21
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$50.77
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46.85
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$50.77
Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Trail Blazers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+78.6%+$55
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+85.8%+$47.2
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$47.14
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST2842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+69.5%+$143.15
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$47.14
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.9%+$44.96
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37%+$34
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+66.2%+$87.63
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+203.5%+$219.76
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$55.59
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$76.87
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+38%+$155.61
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$158.4
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$260
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$190.91
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+138.3%+$270.99
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$310
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+44.2%+$110.49
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Roar Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.86
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$48.77
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$109
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+325.7%+$325.72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$39.91
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$93
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46.85
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$68.57
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$153.33
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.25
Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$50.77
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+170.3%+$95.35
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+62.5%+$31.27
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$59.63
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$260
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+1,150%+$310.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$49.66
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$155
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+88.7%+$57.64
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$148.92
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$112.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+733.3%+$369.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+143.9%+$359.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+245.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+245.6%+$614.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.