NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6d73ce34f662ab42dd2af7275d01c7c293e72b3eef7a2365b91d57f4ffbe9d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 47c | 28,847$13,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,461.59 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 18,771$9,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,803.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 52c | 7,150$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 2,699$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.95 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…b54dbacked Over | 51c | 2,098$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 54c | 1,967$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.12 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 1,627$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.15 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 53c | 1,478$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.29 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Over | 52c | 963.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.37 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 55c | 937.54$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.9 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 47c | 884.62$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.77 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 721.98$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.12 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 689.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa499…7873backed Over | 51c | 589$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…45c3backed Under | 50c | 285.12$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 279$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 53c | 195$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…6089backed Under | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 55c | 99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…6574backed Over | 54c | 98.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Over | 53c | 96.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b1e9backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…ea41backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 46c | 91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…0842backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 52c | 70.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 52c | 59.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Under | 49c | 50.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 53c | 47.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74da…2a37backed Over | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…f78abacked Over | 53c | 31.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 48c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5this page
- Magic vs. 76ersMagic won
- Magic vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.