TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeabf…97e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST14452.1%75 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.99
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.29
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
1H Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+47%+$117.43
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46.85
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.9%+$51.88
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on February 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$31.56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on December 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+900%+$180
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+150%+$42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$84
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+143.9%+$17.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+58.9%+$39.16
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Broncos (-11.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+71%+$28.38
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Spread: Bills (-5.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Steelers vs. Ravens: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$10.57
Seahawks vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Giants vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Bears vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.79
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.65
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Silver (SI) Up or Down on February 5?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Silver (SI) Up or Down on January 29?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+488.2%+$83
Silver (SI) Up or Down on January 27?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Silver (SI) Up or Down on January 7?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 7?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Silver (SI) Up or Down on December 23?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Gold (GC) Up or Down on December 23?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+83.3%+$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+170.3%+$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,100-$7,200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.