La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec82ea2d2130a6de896589fc87adf30619968a8d75a838a9d4d51555d394c88a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 5,069$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.95 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 71c | 3,961$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.83 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 71c | 564.11$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 29c | 538.83$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.26 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 30c | 499.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f2…1e32backed Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 30c | 393.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 72c | 319$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 27c | 234.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…2adebacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…13fbbacked Over | 72c | 124.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 72c | 120.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x705c…4e11backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over | 71c | 98.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 72c | 86.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 72c | 81.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 28c | 75.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e898backed Over | 73c | 57.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…f169backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 30c | 40.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…ad3dbacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.