La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x236e6a420cf979a238c71ace9547344f12781eb780bdfed079624965ad9efee1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 3,728$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.77 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.48 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 31c | 1,398$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.64 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 31c | 999.94$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.98 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 68c | 790.93$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.26 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 31c | 444$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 69c | 383.13$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 326.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…69ebbacked Yes | 70c | 322.09$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 32c | 310.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 11c | 210.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 71c | 160.68$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…0cc9backed Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 28c | 138.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 32c | 127.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 68c | 110.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Yes | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…544fbacked Yes | 71c | 90.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No | 32c | 73.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Yes | 71c | 65.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 34c | 58.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 31c | 52.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…74dcbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…f169backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 33c | 36.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ec90backed Yes | 69c | 34.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 68c | 30.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0b…a307backed Yes | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.