TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05f5…544f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed RCD Mallorca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+39.6%+$14.64
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Real Betis vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$26.14
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)backed Atletico Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$28.24
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$14.25
Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$7.72
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$24.93
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$20.32
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.25
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Switzerland leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$35.79
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-49.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Set 1 Winner: Mboko vs Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$146
Set 1 Winner: Yuan vs Swiatekbacked Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.