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La Liga · resolved market

Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FC Barcelonaof FC Barcelona, RCD Mallorca
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed RCD Mallorca56c160,718$89,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,304.529748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed FC Barcelona44c53,881$23,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,171.6990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed FC Barcelona44c50,607$22,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,391.094,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked FC Barcelona44c44,900$19,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,1442138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FC Barcelona44c40,722$17,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,804.271,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed RCD Mallorca55c34,260$18,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,913.555152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed FC Barcelona45c8,889$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,888.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed RCD Mallorca56c7,821$4,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,371.618041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked RCD Mallorca55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked FC Barcelona46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7002373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed FC Barcelona45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked RCD Mallorca56c3,530$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.862948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked FC Barcelona46c3,195$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.55855.2%32 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed FC Barcelona44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.998457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed RCD Mallorca63c2,440$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.062846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e46…35efbacked FC Barcelona47c2,215$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed RCD Mallorca55c1,769$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.123748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed RCD Mallorca54c1,634$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.3635148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked RCD Mallorca39c1,537$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.943,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed FC Barcelona45c1,468$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.147241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed FC Barcelona44c1,189$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.4115443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked FC Barcelona45c1,058$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.93655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed FC Barcelona44c1,055$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.555742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed FC Barcelona40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6005927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe955…3b03backed FC Barcelona37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed RCD Mallorca55c900$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed FC Barcelona51c820.15$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.422548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…ac40backed FC Barcelona46c691.3$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed RCD Mallorca57c635.15$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.51758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed FC Barcelona44c561.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.3420452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed RCD Mallorca55c500$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27418650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked FC Barcelona45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.441450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed RCD Mallorca54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2167844.9%35 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked FC Barcelona45c389.4$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.173946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed RCD Mallorca54c388.01$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x350e…bd56backed FC Barcelona44c344.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed FC Barcelona19c337.84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.653740.5%15 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.23per pick18cpaid+149.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed FC Barcelona43c301.32$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.759947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed RCD Mallorca54c300$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1634447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed FC Barcelona39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed RCD Mallorca56c234.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.361553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed RCD Mallorca56c234.49$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.361163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed RCD Mallorca55c233.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6932945.6%150 W · 179 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked RCD Mallorca55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed FC Barcelona45c217.78$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7816446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed FC Barcelona35c208.19$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.368268.3%56 W · 26 L+14.7wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed FC Barcelona29c202.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.011833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed RCD Mallorca50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010751.4%55 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed RCD Mallorca56c186.25$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.061163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked RCD Mallorca56c173$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.862763%17 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed RCD Mallorca55c170$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+60.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed RCD Mallorca56c169.11$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.491457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed RCD Mallorca56c156.38$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7513648.5%66 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed RCD Mallorca65c155.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed RCD Mallorca56c152.03$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.142951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed RCD Mallorca56c145.15$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.644647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked FC Barcelona44c140.45$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.724444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed FC Barcelona36c138$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.131957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf148…00ebbacked RCD Mallorca52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bf…991cbacked FC Barcelona45c127.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.094100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+103.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c9c…6b57backed FC Barcelona45c122.27$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.252948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked FC Barcelona45c113.61$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6727850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed1b…4045backed RCD Mallorca57c113.39$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.222268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed FC Barcelona45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked FC Barcelona45c102$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.16847.1%32 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed FC Barcelona46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411354.9%62 W · 51 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed RCD Mallorca56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed FC Barcelona41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed RCD Mallorca38c94.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3357252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed RCD Mallorca56c93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.342138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed RCD Mallorca65c92.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604045%18 W · 22 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe109…8ec3backed FC Barcelona46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.963351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked FC Barcelona49c86.63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.154938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FC Barcelona41c74.8$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0235145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed RCD Mallorca56c68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.084746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed RCD Mallorca55c65.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc21f…1c9cbacked RCD Mallorca55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked FC Barcelona29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.725621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed RCD Mallorca56c48.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FC Barcelona44c42.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9229246.9%137 W · 155 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked RCD Mallorca55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe19e…ac82backed RCD Mallorca56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x152f…b926backed RCD Mallorca55c35.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed RCD Mallorca56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.751625%4 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-59.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfcd5…655abacked RCD Mallorca56c34.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b7b…7ce4backed FC Barcelona46c33.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecc…7caabacked FC Barcelona46c31.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed RCD Mallorca56c30.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe739…6b8ebacked RCD Mallorca56c30.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe576…6950backed FC Barcelona46c30.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…f6d7backed RCD Mallorca55c29.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f5…544fbacked RCD Mallorca69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd788…16d3backed FC Barcelona46c27.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…98bbbacked RCD Mallorca56c27.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed FC Barcelona55c25.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.457241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c33…a66bbacked RCD Mallorca55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112544%11 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed RCD Mallorca57c19.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5de…a312backed RCD Mallorca55c19.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9172…b68dbacked RCD Mallorca57c19.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.