TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c27,882$8,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,293.5713824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under45c21,279$9,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,703.239748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under45c9,480$4,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2145152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c5,308$3,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.534,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over55c5,247$2,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,885.852948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over53c5,190$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.8490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over55c3,855$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c3,400$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.883,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.997349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c2,911$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.2569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over56c2,411$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35013263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over55c2,227$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c2,027$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.5683939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over26c1,165$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over51c888$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.6537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2dc…3f6abacked Under56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3521747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over52c722.24$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.8360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c721.8$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.1442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963724.3%9 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over56c502.78$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.5631745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over35c460$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.882955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96cb…df2ebacked Under46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c419.6$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.191,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over33c366.67$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over47c352.23$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8623250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over13c328.45$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.564938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over55c322$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.13946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Under44c315.34$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.596344.4%28 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1654447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over55c297.2$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.465650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c255.31$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3132145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under72c215.32$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.331,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404425%11 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over55c205$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1125448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11042458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over53c199.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9929053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Over60c191.8$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.83616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under45c157.11$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.412846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb894…33a9backed Under44c145.48$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf94c…4484backed Under77c129.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.886261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2b…a44cbacked Over55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe93f…6769backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Over56c103.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.745046%23 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under46c103$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.621758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547255.6%40 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5416342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98df…41b7backed Under45c99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1817…5f80backed Over56c92.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.84812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-76%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Over56c91.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.33850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over40c91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.236752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad08…67a5backed Under45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over44c87$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.911957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over35c86.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0413052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef6b…ebc9backed Over55c81.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+81.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecd6…5f03backed Over56c75.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.072962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over55c74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.76349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under46c73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.421163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over38c71.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3717648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Under47c53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.092458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2b…4c50backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.813760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over36c48.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1128446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ea…dae1backed Under67c45.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Over56c44.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.066847.1%32 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under45c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.126550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-69.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Under45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+60.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6f…f37cbacked Over53c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c37.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.11,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf653…d1d6backed Under57c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under60c36.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6622553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd475…35c5backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208838.6%34 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb5e…a076backed Over33c36.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Under61c36.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.13154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over55c35.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.662948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9197…3cb7backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over35c34.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3110039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1131…6181backed Under47c34.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under46c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.532763%17 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Under60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12dd…9a0cbacked Over54c32.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.18446.4%39 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under44c29.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e7…a99abacked Over54c28.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.