TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe109…8ec3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT5848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$164.39
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$213.65
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$318.75
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+109.2%+$18.07
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$441
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$355.55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$177
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$107.69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$95.9
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$81.43
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+94.2%+$65.94
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$314.49
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$46.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.3%+$364.47
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$277.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$77.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+83.8%+$209.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.96
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$53.33
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$575
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66.99
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+376.2%+$75.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$28.81
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.63
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+127.3%+$76.36
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.4%+$124.16
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+306.7%+$613.32
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$104.24
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.6%+$185.13
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+150%+$69
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.67
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41.69
Will SK Brann win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+177.8%+$53.33
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+79.6%+$188.71
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100.8%+$20.17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$50.69
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick20cpaid+201.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$217
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$34.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.7%+$78.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla say "Regulator" or "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.