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La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$435,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$445,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,767 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94f0…cd31backed Yes60c166,667$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,666.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No40c77,419$30,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,967.4910438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes59c27,371$16,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,091.2430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No40c23,175$9,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,191.9690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c21,089$8,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,490.722,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00024245%109 W · 133 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No42c19,103$8,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,023.47455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes60c17,032$10,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,890.1150243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c12,874$3,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,977.864,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No41c12,524$5,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,134.937139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No40c12,500$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No42c10,000$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,149.9930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No40c8,811$3,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,524.420449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9913046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c5,473$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.043,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0509625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked No42c4,897$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.833455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No41c4,888$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No23c4,752$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.491,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e50…96efbacked Yes60c4,167$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes59c4,036$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.756764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No40c3,512$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.181,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No41c3,340$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.416243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes59c2,895$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.924540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes60c2,787$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.672669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes77c2,589$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.377553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No41c2,588$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.0216740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No41c2,550$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.4650949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes60c2,468$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.1615246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No21c2,239$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.1669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No40c2,218$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.1935148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes58c2,134$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.2512944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed No40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes58c1,894$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.949348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No8c1,873$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8384939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes60c1,717$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.6713263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No41c1,695$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6956023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabe0…7670backed Yes75c1,658$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.953145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes59c1,609$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.445440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No40c1,600$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes59c1,536$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.249840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes59c1,350$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.7514067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No41c1,348$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.6811333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No40c1,237$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.2129545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes58c1,201$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.053033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4924447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.992343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No41c1,137$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.9753246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No5c1,092$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6826930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No14c1,005$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4209656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No41c989.99$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.926147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes73c822.12$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1814067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed Yes59c785.98$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.253943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe56f…3914backed No41c731.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6cc…c0f2backed Yes60c695.51$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes56c686$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed No44c682.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No18c681.56$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.875832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes75c641$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2519662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Yes59c610.17$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.173056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed No42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No40c599.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No41c563.04$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0615443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes78c538.7$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.72458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Yes59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.474946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.473551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a49…8786backed Yes59c505$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Yes60c500.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.832365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes59c487$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.673262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7322…bb35backed No42c450$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Yes59c430$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.33262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes58c428.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1111149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No11c404.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.479134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16422746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No24c395.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes59c360.02$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes58c346.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.252548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaced…b1bebacked Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6584…c018backed Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9148…2d9ebacked Yes60c336.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.121241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c7…9d8fbacked Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes59c332.93$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.526241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Yes56c320$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.81637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed No32c300$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710233.3%34 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205657.1%32 W · 24 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1234235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35af…44f3backed No42c293.93$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.451266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ee…22dbbacked Yes56c291.1$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.11030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd1…00c9backed Yes75c261.33$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No40c259.67$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.994847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes58c256.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7253242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed No40c252.84$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.211457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x410a…2643backed No41c249.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked No42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.