TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xabe0…7670

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$320.22
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150%+$543
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$362.65
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$111.02
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$625.16
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$276.76
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$31.82
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)backed Deportivo Alavés · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+270.4%+$35.15
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$559
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+255.3%+$255.26
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$384.34
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,069.38
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+32.7%+$408.95
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Girona FC vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Girona FC vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rio Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+233.3%+$28
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$38.65
Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$23.46
Pegula vs. Anisimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rybakina vs. Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Jovic (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Sabalenka vs. Jovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$33.21
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$346.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$99.42
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,121.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$23.75
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$58.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+93.7%+$576.01
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$98
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+147.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$9.18
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+257.1%+$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$163.04
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$15.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Unicaja vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team World vs. Team USA Starsbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.