Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b27cf1f918c0afb26165ed7cf334bf7c0ba6866915e85f2f62b0d5f21b9427
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pegulaof Anisimova, Pegula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Anisimova | 35c | 2,454$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.7 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Anisimova | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.97 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pegula | 67c | 1,745$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.72 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Pegula | 65c | 1,435$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.71 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pegula | 65c | 1,042$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.65 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Anisimova | 33c | 344.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Pegula | 67c | 306$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Pegula | 67c | 299.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Anisimova | 36c | 246$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Anisimova | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Anisimova | 31c | 99.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b32…d6a8backed Pegula | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Pegula | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Pegula | 68c | 65.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked Anisimova | 35c | 60.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Anisimova | 34c | 58.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ef…4e16backed Pegula | 66c | 55.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…7670backed Pegula | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…e467backed Pegula | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)this page
- Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda AnisimovaPegula won
- Pegula vs. Anisimova: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Pegula vs. Anisimova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Pegula vs. Anisimova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Pegula vs. Anisimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs AnisimovaPegula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.