TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3277…be5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST5950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$115.01
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
1H Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.13
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$150.01
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$122.85
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$266.67
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.97
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$17.62
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+94.9%+$138.62
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$190.91
Spread: Jazz (-3.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+99.3%+$113.88
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+143.9%+$214.66
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$149.33
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$89.27
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$140.29
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$67.39
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$63.78
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$131.49
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+132.6%+$198.84
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$30.93
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$112.38
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$150.01
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$45.05
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST4847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$138.46
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.79
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$101.04
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.33
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.43
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.25
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+156.4%+$234.63
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$150.01
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$136.01
Avalanche vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$149.92
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$144.12
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$115.61
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+149.1%+$93.25
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+117.4%+$175.23
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$42.61
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$76.74
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$122.47
Utah vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+66.7%+$91.3
Kings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$121.97
Flyers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$97.38
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$108.36
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$127.79
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$176.1
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.52
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+146.3%+$188.86
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$53.04
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+212.5%+$93.12
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$149.78
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$139.49
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$52.92
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Shelton (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+77.5%+$145.82
Shelton vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78%+$62.72
Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.97
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$195.15
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+163.2%+$167.27
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.22
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$137.94
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$90.59
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$150.01
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+140.2%+$187.95
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+95.7%+$108.52
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$77.06
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$149.52
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$148.58
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$149.91
1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+89.3%+$115.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-46.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+586.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,273.3%+$139.04
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$234.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$78.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$82.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$66.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.