TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes36c11,609$4,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes19c6,520$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.7343344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes19c5,114$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.9819934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes20c3,050$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61026022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x072c…f037backed Yes66c3,030$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No58c3,024$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.5276941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c2,753$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.182,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No42c2,723$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes19c2,652$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.885538.2%21 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+108.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes21c2,356$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.2874155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes20c2,250$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe841…2edebacked Yes19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.83520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-75%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes20c1,832$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.414740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes5c1,683$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.587237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34e5…7dd4backed Yes65c1,537$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes52c1,355$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.913630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0c…e341backed Yes20c1,307$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c1,201$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.143,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc39…e02fbacked Yes64c1,185$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes19c1,142$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.942030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes10c1,035$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.012437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+388.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No77c1,008$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.244447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…4ebcbacked No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No75c981.03$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.031492.9%13 W · 1 L+4.3wins+0.30per pick62cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No45c941.85$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.482138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes53c934.19$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.841656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fc…f4b0backed Yes19c799.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15280%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes20c797.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5910055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes51c753.64$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7978344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes62c740.21$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.933259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No69c740$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4623461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3277…be5fbacked Yes23c653.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0140%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd7c…6d35backed No60c633.33$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes19c601.66$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6613920.1%28 W · 111 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes20c544.11$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.827040%28 W · 42 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeba1…92f4backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed No42c499.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c87…3b59backed Yes20c430$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed No47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.533167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes5c420$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacd1…fc34backed Yes20c420$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes64c329.26$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.731963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08b2…e7f4backed Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10df…a5cbbacked Yes47c286.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.961118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-62.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes57c272.3$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2190%0 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes46c261.12$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa25b…1220backed Yes7c255.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No44c253.48$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8742844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da7…ff92backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf0…95fbbacked No40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5076…e15dbacked No58c247$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.741566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed No58c215.52$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.521266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid-43.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-72.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes59c186.03$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.331637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes34c180.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.874822.9%11 W · 37 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf6b8…ac6ebacked Yes54c178.02$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes22c175.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387628.9%22 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No60c174.27$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1711643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.86145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes20c166$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.21030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92ae…a7b0backed No61c164.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+62.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4679…bc44backed Yes20c160$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes15c148.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes21c143.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.452429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked Yes57c138.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.321241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes60c137$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8110544.8%47 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Yes53c135$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.72766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked No62c130$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.43638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb708…c9cbbacked Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes15c121.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3420047%94 W · 106 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes9c121.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No53c121.38$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1510537.1%39 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes63c119.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c12…8e4fbacked Yes54c118.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes20c110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627829.5%23 W · 55 L-11.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked No38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202035%7 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…6c97backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Yes11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+185.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed No77c98.64$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.691566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes64c97.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6279532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc903…6a16backed Yes24c95.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2340%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb74b…d765backed Yes53c95.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked No46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.961973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b2c…0266backed Yes46c86.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed No61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.974065%26 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0b…83e4backed Yes20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes35c77.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.113666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.