TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38fa…55eabacked Yes37c6,652$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,202.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+61.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c5,866$3,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,909.7784850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No54c3,067$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.7576941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c3,057$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.873,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Yes25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c1,558$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.82,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10df…a5cbbacked No14c611$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.541118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-62.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes28c589.99$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.696145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6f4…1b0cbacked No70c550.56$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No62c550$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34179532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes24c532$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.323956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+57.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeba1…92f4backed Yes24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes31c484.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.5763857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Yes50c474$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2371050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed No77c458.41$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes25c440$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c424.59$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.2291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd05b…af07backed No76c415$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003135.5%11 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecc7…01e0backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes28c300$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.821040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes23c290.43$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6336136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No76c258.02$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.18245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No76c250$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19023757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+60.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1522725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.317135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c12…8e4fbacked No73c184.24$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.49944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes49c180.47$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c178.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.758240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ad…e759backed Yes70c175.71$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.711833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No76c170$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.27248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1207528%21 W · 54 L-9.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Yes63c159.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.497364.4%47 W · 26 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes68c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.71861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No75c148.58$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.922755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes25c147.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.791643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes24c143.74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2442844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed No75c132$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No76c119.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.198755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes34c114.74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.731369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+59.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed No63c108$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.082941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No75c106$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes25c104.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.984822.9%11 W · 37 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc609…7b6fbacked No76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752763%17 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd73e…021cbacked Yes25c94.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.621030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes22c90$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.23638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb485…20a5backed Yes59c84.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.949100%9 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No36c81.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.532934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9932…f309backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+149.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked No66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes34c73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9111643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Yes25c72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.436737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No65c67.15$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6452243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes35c62.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.862825%7 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes24c60.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7910035%35 W · 65 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No76c60$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.67853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.143231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…ab47backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.142650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1417447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes27c54.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.897628.9%22 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes37c52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.761741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3815459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.58847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd246…5622backed Yes35c49.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+74.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No78c45.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4310360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…f5e5backed Yes61c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x492b…fa70backed Yes25c44.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Yes25c44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes49c43.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1737750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes37c43.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.143844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Yes36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1652…a501backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…6779backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+65.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb270…420fbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes35c35.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.218138.3%31 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7104…8cffbacked No59c33.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No48c33.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.017237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No75c32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No54c30.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.375026%13 W · 37 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0d0…ee5abacked No62c30.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.692623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-55.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c21.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6444952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No76c18.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.212146.3%56 W · 65 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed No66c15.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6b8…ac6ebacked No78c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf028…c88cbacked Yes78c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No76c13.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.278155.6%45 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.