TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6f4…1b0c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+131.5%+$113.01
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$77.85
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+112.7%+$33.43
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+157.3%+$23.05
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22.73
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$48.09
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.25
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.8%+$12.68
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+141%+$40.47
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.39
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.39
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$54.85
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61%+$10.67
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.37
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$33.55
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$285.67
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+138.7%+$118.56
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$56.72
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$23.93
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$42.3
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.39
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+60.2%+$40.06
Will SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.8%+$35.69
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+150%+$30.58
Will AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$33.49
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.02
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45.91
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$385.69
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.2%+$46.69
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.1%+$23.61
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+81.2%+$42.44
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$5.82
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+111.9%+$25.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$81.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.