Serie A · resolved market
Will US Lecce vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9a2e9f015e0b100ea4c9aee58a467031a063946e7f650d425a6ac6891a9c7c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 5,368$3,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.5 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 27c | 5,367$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.08 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 3,381$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.33 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Yes | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 68c | 2,528$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 2,356$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.35 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 50c | 1,499$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.83 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked No | 63c | 966$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 32c | 800$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 32c | 743.24$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.4 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 68c | 682.74$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.26 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed No | 68c | 617.62$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 506.35$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.93 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 19c | 441.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 26c | 415.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 57c | 378.42$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…44cbbacked No | 69c | 374.69$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1885…c06ebacked No | 69c | 371.86$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…2826backed Yes | 32c | 370.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…b22ebacked Yes | 32c | 370.33$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes | 73c | 305.04$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.26 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 69c | 273.21$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.51 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 36c | 265.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…da18backed No | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 50c | 199.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 67c | 199$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…1b0cbacked No | 55c | 138.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 32c | 135.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 66c | 135.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…666abacked Yes | 32c | 129$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 33c | 123.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed No | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked No | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 68c | 95.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 92.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 86.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 59c | 73.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 69c | 70.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 42c | 58.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…a7debacked Yes | 53c | 58.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…3e5dbacked Yes | 52c | 57.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 24c | 54.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…d63fbacked Yes | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…b402backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 38c | 48.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…0f5abacked Yes | 74c | 44.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed No | 35c | 34.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 59c | 21.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Yes | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Lecce vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?this page
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-24?No won
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.