TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No66c17,542$11,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.7496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Yes30c16,439$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c16,308$9,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,765.752,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes27c9,787$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,685812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes48c9,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.0940447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0748…a31ebacked Yes48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.985158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No53c3,700$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,73945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c3,475$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.1949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No52c3,429$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.379631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c2,898$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.8893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No53c2,439$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.0911153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No54c2,015$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.24860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-64.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f91…c21fbacked No55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.974727.7%13 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes47c1,920$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.727737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes45c1,753$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.881442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef04…9ef0backed Yes48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes48c1,222$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.784447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No52c1,208$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.819350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No52c1,207$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.153537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59db…1d13backed No55c1,200$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5422055%11 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed No53c1,193$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.71955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.852171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No54c999.87$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.943271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c956.69$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.3198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes47c948.78$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.9337250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c900.25$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.131,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d68…fe74backed Yes12c844.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes31c719.55$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.393828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes12c719$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7359240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No53c705.06$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.386323.8%15 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes48c693.75$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3336829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2885530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes29c560$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3314549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No52c546.47$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3726046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No54c535$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.13953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No53c511.88$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.1421445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.951957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No53c499.97$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes49c481.61$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.4144753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked No52c476.06$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.511450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes45c420$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.68640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes26c384.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No49c335.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3519549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No71c329.97$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.352748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed No63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.463345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No52c299.97$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes48c299.93$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9712052.5%63 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x226e…86ecbacked No53c292$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes46c268.83$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.665644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c249.93$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1222743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes47c234.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11033951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed No64c231.25$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Yes49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10df…a5cbbacked Yes26c202$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.421040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No53c201.29$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4416448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6039…9496backed No53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes28c184$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5214936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed No53c181.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.794535.6%16 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Yes48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes22c150.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8812929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3928445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No53c147.01$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.19844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeea…0c83backed No54c146.3$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d2…a62dbacked Yes48c143.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc377…3e5dbacked Yes47c127.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes48c123.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2620741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked Yes38c120.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.611666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked No53c114.62$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes13c114.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes46c111$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No54c107.46$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4339740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504060%24 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Yes48c101.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.524858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed No53c101.06$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.212035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…625dbacked Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483250%16 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204524.4%11 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3e…ef94backed No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472035%7 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed No52c97.15$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.162638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes47c95.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Yes48c93.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453060%18 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes22c91.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.778737.9%33 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e2…3296backed Yes24c87.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf39…0e83backed Yes48c86.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.591861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes20c86.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53225%8 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.