TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x291b…2667

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST3271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,675Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$824.98
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+194.1%+$101.91
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$273.38
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$329.97
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$240
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$309.84
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,409Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$827.76
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,300
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$35.5
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$459.94
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$399.99
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$759.99
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,059.98
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$290
Will SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$209.99
Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$309.99
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37%+$270
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$294.99
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$265
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127%+$478.7
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25%+$60
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$294.99
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$78
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+98%+$296.99
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$539.98
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,319.94
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$93.84
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$240
Will Burnley FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$709.94
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$470
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+53.8%+$349.99
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$330
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$519.97
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$569.94
Will Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$250
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+156.4%+$610
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$299.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+203%+$1,339.98
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$959.97
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,079.99
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+31.6%+$479.99
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$2,720
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,159.99
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$799.98
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$99.49
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,760Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,240
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+37%+$1,079.99
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,359.93
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,720
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,200
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$280
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$62.97
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+49.3%+$329.99
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$379.99
Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$46.26
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$389.97
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$107.77
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$729.94
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$700
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+40.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,179.99
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$169.32
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$129.66
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$240
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.