Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427b65b3ed86e44eeef9552132be61d21df22bca7a49347b0e7042333e65374b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 14,934$10,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298.79 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 9,407$6,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.36 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 7,361$5,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.99 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 6,638$4,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.8 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 35c | 4,788$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.85 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 2,692$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.47 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 34c | 2,631$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.89 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 15c | 2,387$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 65c | 2,222$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.69 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 35c | 2,208$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.65 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 34c | 2,160$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…0d89backed Yes | 35c | 2,010$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,750$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 1,743$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.83 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 66c | 1,715$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.1 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 64c | 1,678$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.54 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 65c | 1,565$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 67c | 1,437$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.28 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…2fd8backed Yes | 33c | 1,149$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 35c | 951.98$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.19 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 34c | 881$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.54 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 64c | 874.76$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.91 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 65c | 839.6$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.86 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 64c | 796.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.91 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 30c | 733.3$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 32c | 625.69$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 65c | 575.88$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.56 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 36c | 552.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 34c | 532.08$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.44 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 34c | 514.55$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.95 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Yes | 28c | 506.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 471$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 64c | 467.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 65c | 447.36$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.74 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 433.7$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5c…f2fcbacked No | 66c | 387.85$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 21c | 387.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1146…b32abacked No | 66c | 382.03$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d89…61cbbacked No | 66c | 381.66$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…6d04backed Yes | 35c | 381.62$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6f…c5f6backed Yes | 35c | 379.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 65c | 378$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fe…9be3backed Yes | 35c | 374.47$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 36c | 361.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 15c | 336.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 67c | 298.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 34c | 291.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 34c | 288.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 65c | 279.06$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 36c | 277.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 28c | 246.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes | 36c | 236.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 229.03$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed No | 68c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…28bdbacked Yes | 33c | 176.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 14c | 166.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Yes | 34c | 151.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 23c | 150.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…af9dbacked Yes | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 25c | 142.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 35c | 141.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 36c | 139$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Yes | 22c | 130.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 34c | 127.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 34c | 121$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked No | 65c | 119.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 15c | 117.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 106.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…69c1backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090b…2f01backed Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 17c | 93.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 65c | 92.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 65c | 92.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c8…eb24backed Yes | 35c | 83.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…0cf5backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 21c | 80.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-23?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.