Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb61a1a38188a163da0dd0e895e3a1aeb57874bc1c630eaddb89152bffcc872d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 22,653$17,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.72 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 18,279$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.56 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.73 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 67c | 8,042$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.79 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 6,619$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.13 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 34c | 6,300$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 33c | 6,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Yes | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 67c | 4,596$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.62 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 68c | 4,524$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.12 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 33c | 4,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 33c | 3,022$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.03 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 68c | 2,862$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Yes | 32c | 2,813$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 2,642$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.03 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 33c | 2,533$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.14 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 66c | 2,222$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.46 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 34c | 2,206$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed Yes | 2c | 1,825$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed No | 68c | 1,565$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 32c | 1,507$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.68 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 67c | 1,498$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.36 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 1,410$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.01 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,170$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…2edebacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…4ebcbacked No | 67c | 999.95$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed No | 69c | 626.2$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed No | 69c | 580.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 66c | 513$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.42 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 14c | 480.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 33c | 403$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 39c | 399.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd582…64bbbacked No | 66c | 379.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4504…a93fbacked Yes | 35c | 372.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Yes | 33c | 305.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 32c | 300.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 26c | 296.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 32c | 295$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 14c | 274.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 241.52$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 13c | 210$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c9…8cbabacked Yes | 26c | 191.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Yes | 28c | 189.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 66c | 187.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 32c | 184.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 180.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x508c…2e81backed Yes | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…28bdbacked Yes | 32c | 177$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 21c | 172.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 30c | 166.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 67c | 146.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 31c | 143$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…ab3ebacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed No | 77c | 114.97$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 34c | 114.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 32c | 113.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 32c | 108.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…01cebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…342dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 24c | 95.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 13c | 93.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 75c | 88.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c8…eb24backed Yes | 34c | 83.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 13c | 79.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 38c | 78.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f01…672cbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…57acbacked Yes | 40c | 69.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed No | 65c | 64.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 61c | 62.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed No | 60c | 59.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…920fbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-23?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.