TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f31…e308

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 62 out of 100; worst NHL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST4047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.48
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+75.4%+$13.29
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.7%+$54.36
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.66
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25.8%+$25.79
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-36.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Penguins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Devils vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Sabres vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Islanders vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2075%15 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UNCW Seahawks vs. William & Mary Tribebacked William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-3.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Georgia State Panthers: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Stony Brook Seawolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$40.79
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)backed Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Florida Ospreys: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Towson Tigers vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: Troy Trojans (-7.5)backed Old Dominion Monarchs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Murray State Racers (-5.5)backed Drake Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+87.3%+$43.65
Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-17.5)backed San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Hampton Pirates (-5.5)backed North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Lamar Cardinals vs. New Orleans Privateersbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5)backed Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.14
Will Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+189.9%+$44.95
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+41.4%+$10.34
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Juncheng Shangbacked Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Women's: Maddison Inglis vs Laura Siegemundbacked Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Women's: Katerina Siniakova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Australian Open Women's: Peyton Stearns vs Petra Marcinkobacked Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.1%+$15.53
Australian Open Men's: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Australian Open Men's: Rinky Hijikata vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Women's: Anastasia Potapova vs Emma Raducanubacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Women's: Yulia Putintseva vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Men's: Vit Kopriva vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Women's: Karolina Pliskova vs Sloane Stephensbacked Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Women's: Ashlyn Krueger vs Sara Bejlekbacked Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.14
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+71%+$70.95
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.8%+$11.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+41.7%+$20.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+150%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Stars (Game Eliminator)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.