Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb742d02fdceaa6ee13bba958816b1c39e4c333542933ff02ac553eaf5e6e411f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $587,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $587,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 53c | 560,624$299,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299,426.03 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 200,000$93,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,499.99 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 47c | 160,000$75,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,800 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 46c | 150,000$69,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 54c | 12,324$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,630.28 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 3,144$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 2,692$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.41 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 45c | 2,689$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.73 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 2,607$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,611$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.91 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 594$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.82 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 47c | 423.41$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.41 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 54c | 404.72$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.55 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Under | 54c | 325.22$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 46c | 315.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.22 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 311.79$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.95 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…c036backed Over | 47c | 303.03$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 55c | 241.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.63 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 207$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Under | 54c | 118.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 48c | 116.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Under | 54c | 59.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 47c | 51.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 47c | 39.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 49c | 36.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Over | 49c | 29.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…058dbacked Over | 46c | 26.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…2d47backed Under | 54c | 26.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Under | 54c | 25.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 24.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 20.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Under | 54c | 19.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…68f6backed Under | 54c | 19.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Under | 54c | 19.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 140.5this page
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf PackNevada Wolf Pack won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 141.5Under won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-17.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-18.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.