TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8025…c036

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST3243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.48
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.86
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$139
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$40.35
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+99.9%+$14.99
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.49
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33.9
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$88.7
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.13
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.26
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
Spread: Heat (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28.42
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$129.78
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.66
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.9
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39.52
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+264.7%+$43.59
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$163.64
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.55
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$142.42
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$123.02
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$43.79
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.61
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.69
Spread: New Mexico State Aggies (-6.5)backed New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$148.48
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$101.99
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-3.5)backed UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$164.34
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saintsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+90.2%+$56.57
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+102%+$202
Washington Huskies vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$339.39
Spread: Bucknell Bison (-5.5)backed Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$180.72
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-17.5)backed San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$373.44
San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$160.61
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$19.17
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.58
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.46
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$20.42
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$101.35
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$171.55
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$32.5
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50.7
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Panthers vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$108
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$58.91
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$92.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+38.9%+$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.