Spread: South Florida Bulls (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11e39708a9ce9c155fa3155a946e30579bbfbbd910a503dd3d22b6ca339f51b6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: South Florida Bullsof South Florida Bulls, UAB Blazers
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $774,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $775,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $774,055 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed South Florida Bulls	49c	677,780$332,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345,725.73	359	45.1%162 W · 197 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed UAB Blazers	51c	296,381$151,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151,152.58	691	42.8%296 W · 395 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed UAB Blazers	51c	231,519$118,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118,074.71	98	60.2%59 W · 39 L	+9.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+23%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed UAB Blazers	51c	60,000$30,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,600	212	62.3%132 W · 80 L	+34.7wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+37%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked UAB Blazers	51c	40,000$20,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,400	136	49.3%67 W · 69 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked South Florida Bulls	49c	38,506$18,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,638.15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked UAB Blazers	51c	37,500$19,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,250	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed UAB Blazers	51c	15,000$7,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,650	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed South Florida Bulls	49c	11,800$5,782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,017.98	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-8.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UAB Blazers	51c	11,209$5,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,741.49	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked UAB Blazers	51c	11,111$5,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,666.61	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked South Florida Bulls	49c	10,189$4,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,196.26	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed UAB Blazers	51c	9,920$5,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,059.31	898	50%449 W · 449 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked UAB Blazers	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed UAB Blazers	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	354	52.3%185 W · 169 L	+17.5wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed UAB Blazers	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	422	46.2%195 W · 227 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed UAB Blazers	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	170	50.6%86 W · 84 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UAB Blazers	53c	2,536$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,343.88	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed UAB Blazers	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UAB Blazers	52c	2,156$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.78	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed South Florida Bulls	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	285	39.6%113 W · 172 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked UAB Blazers	51c	1,200$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612	141	50.4%71 W · 70 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad14…34fdbacked UAB Blazers	51c	1,200$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed UAB Blazers	51c	1,165$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked UAB Blazers	50c	1,050$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	302	49.3%149 W · 153 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed UAB Blazers	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	557	49.2%274 W · 283 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed South Florida Bulls	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	417	52.5%219 W · 198 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked UAB Blazers	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	113	47.8%54 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed UAB Blazers	52c	750$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed UAB Blazers	51c	607.84$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	794	48.9%388 W · 406 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked South Florida Bulls	49c	590$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.9	321	46.7%150 W · 171 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UAB Blazers	45c	521.42$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.13	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked South Florida Bulls	45c	496$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.8	2,896	50%1,448 W · 1,448 L	+71.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked South Florida Bulls	50c	447.9$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.95	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked UAB Blazers	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	270	45.2%122 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed UAB Blazers	53c	375.48$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	134	44%59 W · 75 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8025…c036backed UAB Blazers	52c	316.03$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.34	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-4.1wins	-0.22per pick	48cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed South Florida Bulls	48c	300$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155	141	51.1%72 W · 69 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked UAB Blazers	51c	300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed UAB Blazers	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed South Florida Bulls	49c	231.27$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.61	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-9.7wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed UAB Blazers	52c	224.71$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.78	198	48%95 W · 103 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed UAB Blazers	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	352	43.2%152 W · 200 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed UAB Blazers	51c	199.99$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	167	55.7%93 W · 74 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed UAB Blazers	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	505	46.9%237 W · 268 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27db…e863backed South Florida Bulls	49c	193.63$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.75	8	100%8 W · 0 L	+3.5wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+85.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed South Florida Bulls	49c	125.1$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.8	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed South Florida Bulls	50c	118$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked South Florida Bulls	50c	117.99$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed South Florida Bulls	50c	108.2$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.1	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed South Florida Bulls	48c	105$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.6	574	48.3%277 W · 297 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed UAB Blazers	51c	87.56$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.94	974	47.9%467 W · 507 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked South Florida Bulls	50c	86.52$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.26	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked South Florida Bulls	48c	84.21$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.79	4,552	50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L	-36.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed UAB Blazers	52c	83.35$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.34	196	53.1%104 W · 92 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed South Florida Bulls	50c	77.2$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.6	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed UAB Blazers	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	237	54.9%130 W · 107 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked South Florida Bulls	49c	61$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.11	72	34.7%25 W · 47 L	-9.7wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked South Florida Bulls	48c	60.02$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.92	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0925…462cbacked UAB Blazers	51c	56.4$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.84	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.21per pick	56cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5084…40a4backed South Florida Bulls	50c	55$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked South Florida Bulls	50c	52.02$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.01	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed UAB Blazers	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	130	46.9%61 W · 69 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf01…b14cbacked UAB Blazers	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed South Florida Bulls	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+5.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+51.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed UAB Blazers	51c	49.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	210	59.5%125 W · 85 L	+17.9wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked South Florida Bulls	50c	43.57$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.79	38	68.4%26 W · 12 L	+6.4wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+35%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x44d8…111ebacked South Florida Bulls	50c	43.22$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.61	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed South Florida Bulls	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed UAB Blazers	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed UAB Blazers	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed South Florida Bulls	50c	37.94$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.97	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked UAB Blazers	51c	37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed UAB Blazers	51c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	294	42.9%126 W · 168 L	-11.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed UAB Blazers	52c	33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.07	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed UAB Blazers	51c	32.53$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	179	43.6%78 W · 101 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed UAB Blazers	51c	29.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	159	47.2%75 W · 84 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked UAB Blazers	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed UAB Blazers	52c	27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	120	54.2%65 W · 55 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed UAB Blazers	51c	25.49$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	100	58%58 W · 42 L	+10.9wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+19%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed UAB Blazers	51c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	48	68.8%33 W · 15 L	+8.6wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+34%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked South Florida Bulls	50c	24.2$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.1	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked South Florida Bulls	50c	23.52$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed South Florida Bulls	50c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed UAB Blazers	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e80…32dcbacked UAB Blazers	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked UAB Blazers	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	349	52.1%182 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: South Florida Bulls (-3.5)this page
South Florida Bulls vs. UAB BlazersSouth Florida Bulls won
South Florida Bulls vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 167.5Under won
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-2.5)South Florida Bulls won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: South Florida Bulls (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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