TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7832…a994

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 63 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT8451.2%43 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$26.41
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.76
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$22.2
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$20.92
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$19.8
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+82.5%+$8.59
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+87.3%+$11.65
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.96
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$14.4
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.67
Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$20.68
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.51
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT4868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Grand Canyon Antelopes (-3.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+91%+$9.5
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$28.2
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$47.7
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.75
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-5.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-2.5)backed UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$47.7
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27.18
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$43.3
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Boston College Eagles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+50.4%+$16.75
Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+91.9%+$40.7
Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-7.5)backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.6
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.92
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$46.8
Spread: Wright State Raiders (-2.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$40.8
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Spread: Towson Tigers (-7.5)backed North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Towson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34.3
Spread: Charleston Cougars (-3.5)backed Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+47.3%+$17.86
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$39.2
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$40.5
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+126%+$22.3
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Blackhawks vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+32.9%+$5.69
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18
Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.96
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$68.9
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$23.83
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$12.5
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.7
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$27.34
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$21.66
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+112.8%+$18.02
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+83.7%+$31.9
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.28
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$64.8
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10100%10 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$17.5
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.8%+$25.52
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+109.4%+$20.9
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+101%+$100.5
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$13.2
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+52%+$15.4
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$38.5
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+71.8%+$31.35
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+105.2%+$108.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.6%+$67.55
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$37.95
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+34%+$35.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$38.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.