NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80472d2dcd420d3a9dd8f0a0e0feeff59f15d606d837a5a7cc9667be30379c13

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $771,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $777,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $771,896 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under	53c	418,061$221,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196,993.55	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	48c	171,481$82,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82,310.75	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under	52c	119,706$62,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,655.82	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Over	47c	115,600$54,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,331.86	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over	47c	104,848$49,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,278.72	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over	47c	100,000$47,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,999.97	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under	53c	49,952$26,474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,477.27	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	48c	46,170$22,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,363.37	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over	48c	11,458$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,500	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over	48c	11,000$5,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,280	173	48.6%84 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Over	49c	9,447$4,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,628.64	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over	48c	8,355$4,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,010.4	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over	49c	8,163$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Under	53c	5,660$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,660.38	128	44.5%57 W · 71 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	49c	5,651$2,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,857.62	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over	48c	5,461$2,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,639.51	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	51c	5,082$2,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,591.83	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over	48c	3,333$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.84	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Under	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410	430	51.4%221 W · 209 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over	49c	2,449$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Over	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	47c	1,364$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.43	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xadb1…fa88backed Over	38c	1,082$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Over	48c	1,068$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.71	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over	49c	1,059$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over	49c	1,018$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.3	182	41.2%75 W · 107 L	-17.6wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Under	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	206	51.5%106 W · 100 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over	48c	825$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	49c	702.77$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.36	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	51c	680.26$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.33	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	48c	500.02$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.93	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Over	48c	488.13$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.3	232	56.9%132 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Over	49c	478.86$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.64	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Under	53c	405.66$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.66	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-5.5wins	-0.20per pick	61cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	49c	397.06$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.56	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Under	59c	315$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.5	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+3.8wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1124…bbcabacked Over	49c	290$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.1	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over	48c	280$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.4	244	42.6%104 W · 140 L	-17.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under	65c	267.05$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.54	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Over	48c	234.27$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	118	55.1%65 W · 53 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over	48c	220.11$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	180	55%99 W · 81 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…b990backed Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+68.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…87c2backed Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Over	49c	204.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	478	52.9%253 W · 225 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over	49c	196$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.04	360	45%162 W · 198 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a1…d6bebacked Over	49c	182.88$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over	49c	177.35$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.9	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x378b…4c2cbacked Over	48c	171.15$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.46	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-3.8wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-57%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over	48c	167$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.16	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over	48c	149.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	267	56.2%150 W · 117 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	15c	145.46$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.83	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over	49c	140.82$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	289	49.1%142 W · 147 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66cc…c578backed Over	48c	135.2$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over	47c	127.56$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.95	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked Under	68c	124.96$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.24	94	50%47 W · 47 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	35c	122$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.14	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Over	49c	121.26$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	137	51.1%70 W · 67 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Over	49c	119.73$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.67	104	56.7%59 W · 45 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	47c	113$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.11	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Over	48c	112.07$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over	48c	111.45$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.5	831	58.1%483 W · 348 L	+18.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Over	49c	111.05$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	106	56.6%60 W · 46 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Over	48c	103.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	144	55.6%80 W · 64 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Over	48c	101.36$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	154	53.2%82 W · 72 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	249	55.8%139 W · 110 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Over	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Under	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Over	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…f80dbacked Over	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over	49c	99.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe90…5ce2backed Over	49c	99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.51	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Over	49c	99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.51	72	56.9%41 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Over	49c	96.84$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.45	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over	49c	95.9$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.99	217	53%115 W · 102 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over	49c	95.9$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.99	171	55.6%95 W · 76 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under	53c	94.78$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.78	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under	53c	92.59$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.52	233	49.4%115 W · 118 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Over	49c	89.21$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.71	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52fe…effdbacked Under	52c	84.9$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.75	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	53c	82$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.56	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Over	47c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	375	49.6%186 W · 189 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	67c	75.89$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.14	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe690…f448backed Over	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under	78c	60$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cc6…31d3backed Over	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Over	20c	50.83$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x02f5…5c6cbacked Over	49c	49$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.01	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…7df5backed Under	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under	53c	42.34$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.9	220	48.6%107 W · 113 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…81a9backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	68cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa630…b402backed Under	53c	41.58$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.58	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+110.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Over	49c	38.65$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.94	182	50%91 W · 91 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4690…ff79backed Under	67c	34$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.3	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5this page
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5No won
Bruce Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5No won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event