NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x512b55e41721fd5ab3c82df52e39dbb6591ccf7b77959807b6fe3257076565f3

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Nuggets, Timberwolves
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $209,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $212,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,253 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves	54c	79,246$42,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,690.13	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves	53c	68,030$36,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,974.18	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d2…ba4cbacked Nuggets	47c	39,559$18,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,626.27	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Nuggets	46c	18,787$8,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,642.07	171	44.4%76 W · 95 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Nuggets	46c	17,274$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Nuggets	47c	14,042$6,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,599.61	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Timberwolves	54c	14,000$7,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,439.99	92	50%46 W · 46 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Nuggets	46c	13,444$6,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,184.45	175	50.9%89 W · 86 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Nuggets	47c	11,910$5,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,597.52	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Nuggets	47c	10,479$4,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,925.2	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Nuggets	46c	7,505$3,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,454.33	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Nuggets	47c	7,389$3,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,462.36	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Nuggets	47c	6,915$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,250	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfecf…8cc0backed Nuggets	46c	6,522$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Nuggets	47c	5,340$2,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,510	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves	53c	3,800$2,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,786	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	47c	3,704$1,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,740.96	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Nuggets	47c	3,688$1,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,733.5	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets	47c	3,299$1,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550.53	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3290…1135backed Timberwolves	55c	2,893$1,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,306.26	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Timberwolves	54c	2,500$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves	53c	2,500$1,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,175	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Timberwolves	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Nuggets	46c	1,696$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Timberwolves	52c	1,667$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.16	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets	47c	1,518$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.09	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves	53c	1,500$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets	49c	1,500$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Nuggets	47c	1,319$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Nuggets	48c	1,250$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Timberwolves	53c	1,240$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.88	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Nuggets	47c	1,147$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.2	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4367…e904backed Timberwolves	47c	1,067$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.23	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	61cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Timberwolves	52c	999.98$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.99	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Nuggets	46c	965.22$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444	166	40.4%67 W · 99 L	-14.6wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Nuggets	31c	924$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.85	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Nuggets	50c	900.01$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.79	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Timberwolves	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	206	47.6%98 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Timberwolves	54c	800$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368	110	44.5%49 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets	47c	779.1$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.5	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets	49c	760$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.62	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets	31c	741.57$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.24	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves	52c	701.73$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.83	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves	51c	695.45$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.78	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets	47c	689$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.18	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves	50c	664.96$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.96	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves	52c	617.67$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.59	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Nuggets	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1400…f76ebacked Nuggets	47c	493.62$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Nuggets	67c	450.78$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	463	46.4%215 W · 248 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets	53c	433.52$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.77	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Nuggets	50c	427$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.5	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Nuggets	50c	402.68$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves	52c	375$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2358…0a7fbacked Nuggets	48c	375$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Timberwolves	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	364	50.8%185 W · 179 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Timberwolves	52c	367.97$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.63	185	43.2%80 W · 105 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves	80c	354.93$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.99	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves	33c	349.64$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.26	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Timberwolves	51c	304.55$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.23	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Nuggets	64c	277.14$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Nuggets	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	141	55.3%78 W · 63 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Nuggets	47c	211.64$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Nuggets	48c	209.98$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.79	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd35…5b98backed Nuggets	45c	205$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.25	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Nuggets	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Nuggets	47c	194$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.35	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Timberwolves	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Timberwolves	50c	179.11$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.11	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Nuggets	39c	178.68$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.67	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-10.8wins	-0.24per pick	46cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets	37c	167.28$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.68	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Nuggets	49c	150$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Timberwolves	55c	148.33$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.82	194	35.1%68 W · 126 L	-13.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves	51c	146.53$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.96	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Nuggets	53c	128.3$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Nuggets	47c	125$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.75	428	53%227 W · 201 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Nuggets	50c	121.56$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.78	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+6.5wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Nuggets	45c	120$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	109	45%49 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Timberwolves	53c	117.3$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.13	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves	52c	116.5$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.24	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Nuggets	47c	114$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.58	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Timberwolves	55c	105$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.25	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Nuggets	47c	104.17$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.96	233	49.4%115 W · 118 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Timberwolves	54c	99.17$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.28	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves	53c	99$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.53	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Timberwolves	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Timberwolves	52c	96.68$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.68	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Timberwolves	51c	93$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.57	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Nuggets	46c	87.28$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.15	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Nuggets	49c	80.65$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.64	118	37.3%44 W · 74 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa9f…b083backed Timberwolves	54c	80$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.8	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Timberwolves	55c	78.02$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.21	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Timberwolves	53c	75.67$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.67	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Nuggets	47c	74.47$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	99	44.4%44 W · 55 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves	51c	68.5$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.56	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Timberwolves	48c	62$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.24	656	30.2%198 W · 458 L	-86.7wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Timberwolves	43c	56$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.92	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Timberwolves	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Timberwolves	52c	54.18$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.18	355	51.3%182 W · 173 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Timberwolves	49c	52.15$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)this page
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5No won
Bruce Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5No won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event