NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36f1a2a44df4ba5036447486f1f4e86bb4d1407d76bfd9c35f3d1207f87c8ad5

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Nuggets
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,223,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,599,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,223,894 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Nuggets	58c	263,852$152,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152,999.01	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dbf…53bebacked Timberwolves	44c	200,000$88,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112,000	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets	56c	157,075$88,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88,745.24	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Timberwolves	42c	87,000$36,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,460	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Nuggets	57c	75,076$42,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,793.53	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets	57c	69,944$40,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,041.48	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Nuggets	56c	64,667$36,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,213.59	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	56c	60,159$33,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,923.12	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Timberwolves	43c	60,000$25,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,199.99	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Timberwolves	43c	50,443$21,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,752.77	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Timberwolves	44c	50,000$21,805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,195.36	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Nuggets	57c	50,000$28,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,499.93	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves	42c	48,198$20,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,846.61	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Timberwolves	42c	41,586$17,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,119.88	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves	43c	39,687$16,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,789.13	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Timberwolves	44c	35,912$15,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,110.72	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Nuggets	36c	35,103$12,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,732.3	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves	43c	35,000$15,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,950	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Timberwolves	43c	33,461$14,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,132.45	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Nuggets	46c	33,386$15,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,444.27	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Timberwolves	39c	30,478$11,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,483.48	117	37.6%44 W · 73 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Timberwolves	43c	30,176$12,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,200.33	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Timberwolves	44c	28,212$12,413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,798.72	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves	64c	27,460$17,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,885.54	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Timberwolves	42c	26,550$11,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,399	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd38c…1128backed Nuggets	58c	25,399$14,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,838.13	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Timberwolves	43c	23,453$10,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,368.49	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves	52c	22,625$11,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,928.28	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Timberwolves	42c	21,927$9,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,636.12	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves	43c	21,922$9,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,495.54	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Timberwolves	42c	21,603$9,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,529.55	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Timberwolves	43c	21,063$9,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,005.85	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets	57c	20,198$11,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,509.02	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Timberwolves	43c	20,000$8,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,400	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Timberwolves	43c	19,898$8,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,341.86	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Timberwolves	41c	19,339$7,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,488.69	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Timberwolves	43c	18,565$7,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,631.72	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets	58c	17,256$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves	40c	16,972$6,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,188.83	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets	57c	16,556$9,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,376.64	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves	64c	15,481$9,983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,498.58	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets	17c	14,566$2,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,495.81	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Timberwolves	43c	14,208$6,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,078.52	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Timberwolves	40c	14,022$5,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,412.97	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Timberwolves	44c	14,007$6,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,893.19	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Timberwolves	43c	13,807$5,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,869.99	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Nuggets	73c	13,648$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Nuggets	36c	13,481$4,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,853.06	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85e5…6056backed Nuggets	76c	13,098$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	70cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Timberwolves	43c	12,500$5,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,125	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Timberwolves	43c	12,257$5,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,986.47	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Nuggets	58c	11,644$6,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,753.41	103	52.4%54 W · 49 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets	56c	11,611$6,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,539.87	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves	56c	11,565$6,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,041.82	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Timberwolves	43c	11,354$4,882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,471.78	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Timberwolves	43c	11,000$4,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,270	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves	45c	10,471$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,770.97	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Timberwolves	42c	10,440$4,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,055.2	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves	41c	10,078$4,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,943.86	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Nuggets	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves	27c	10,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,299.99	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Timberwolves	43c	9,648$4,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,499.33	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Timberwolves	43c	9,619$4,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,508.68	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Nuggets	55c	8,786$4,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,825.44	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets	60c	8,754$5,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,252.4	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Nuggets	28c	8,747$2,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,441.34	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Nuggets	50c	8,130$4,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,066.21	219	44.7%98 W · 121 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Nuggets	58c	8,110$4,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,703.63	433	52.2%226 W · 207 L	+19.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Nuggets	38c	7,847$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	108	37%40 W · 68 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Nuggets	56c	7,206$4,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,035.29	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves	48c	7,061$3,397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,664.86	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Timberwolves	44c	7,000$3,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,920	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf958…5a02backed Nuggets	45c	6,994$3,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,176.24	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+3.8wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6319…4fd7backed Nuggets	60c	6,776$4,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,065.74	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Nuggets	34c	6,622$2,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,277.05	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Nuggets	47c	6,214$2,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,920.62	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-42%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves	57c	6,121$3,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,622.9	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Timberwolves	42c	6,090$2,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,532.2	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Nuggets	21c	6,010$1,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,282.4	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4c…444cbacked Nuggets	48c	5,999$2,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,873.36	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves	66c	5,638$3,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,931.21	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nuggets	46c	5,570$2,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,540.97	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Nuggets	57c	5,555$3,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,166.34	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	66cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Timberwolves	44c	5,244$2,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,937.88	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Timberwolves	53c	5,183$2,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,435.93	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves	43c	5,129$2,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,925.12	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Timberwolves	43c	5,100$2,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,907	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Nuggets	60c	5,000$2,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,980	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Nuggets	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,150	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Timberwolves	44c	5,000$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,800	359	42.1%151 W · 208 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets	36c	5,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Nuggets	38c	5,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Timberwolves	62c	4,952$3,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,881.92	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Nuggets	36c	4,851$1,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,741.87	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Timberwolves	43c	4,775$2,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,722.5	171	62.6%107 W · 64 L	+10.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Nuggets	23c	4,733$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,104.76	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b84…a239backed Nuggets	47c	4,641$2,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,195.27	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Timberwolves	57c	4,607$2,628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,978.51	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Nuggets	31c	4,558$1,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,404.61	194	35.1%68 W · 126 L	-13.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Timberwolves	44c	4,545$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,545.45	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsthis page
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5No won
Bruce Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5No won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event